Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>US economic data while surprising on the upside fails to buoy the USD vs the JPY</li>
<li>BOJ awaiting shunto talks for more evidence of a sustained move out of deflation</li>
<li>What are the implications for global markets if mass repatriation of Japanese capital</li>
</ul>


US economic data while surprising on the upside fails to buoy the USD vs the JPY
BOJ awaiting shunto talks for more evidence of a sustained move out of deflation
What are the implications for global markets if mass repatriation of Japanese capital


The Bank of Japan Plays Footsie with the Market-Will They or Won’t They?

<ul>
<li>US Q4 2023 GDP data "surprised" the market on the upside</li>
<li>US Inflation appears even lower than the government reported statistics</li>
<li>Japan inflation statistics ease and the BOJ hints at ending negative rates</li>
</ul>


US Q4 2023 GDP data "surprised" the market on the upside
US Inflation appears even lower than the government reported statistics
Japan inflation statistics ease and the BOJ hints at ending negative rates


Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shopping malls are now trading at pre-pandemic levels again and developers and tenants alike are much more upbeat and optimistic about the future. </li>
<li>The pandemic, alongside competition from e-commerce, has left its mark but this has mostly been a good thing, forcing more proactive management of malls.</li>
<li>Profitability remains a concern but rents are up for some and more efficiencies are being introduced through digitisation.</li>
</ul>


Shopping malls are now trading at pre-pandemic levels again and developers and tenants alike are much more upbeat and optimistic about the future. 
The pandemic, alongside competition from e-commerce, has left its mark but this has mostly been a good thing, forcing more proactive management of malls.
Profitability remains a concern but rents are up for some and more efficiencies are being introduced through digitisation.


Japan Shopping Malls: More Proactive and Disciplined Post-Covid

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A shift in composition needed in a Japanese portfolio this year</li>
<li>A weaker US and Japanese economy together with a stronger Yen will  make sector allocation key.</li>
<li>Some sectors to avoid or invest in during this next phase.</li>
</ul>


A shift in composition needed in a Japanese portfolio this year
A weaker US and Japanese economy together with a stronger Yen will  make sector allocation key.
Some sectors to avoid or invest in during this next phase.


2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 4

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Equities sink on China Worries; China enacts emergency rate cuts; Stops publishing youth employment data; Strong US Retail sales pushes Yields; New US Bank regulation to hit profits</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures -1% discount vs Cash; USDJPY 145.6; Japan watching Yen - to take appropriate action says Fin Minister; JP GDP beats expectations; Typhoon Lan rips Western Japan </li>
<li>NUGGET.  Japan Post Holdings -300 billion yen share buyback;  With a pile of cash from Japan Post Bank Sale (1.2 trillion to be exact), we think this just the start</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Equities sink on China Worries; China enacts emergency rate cuts; Stops publishing youth employment data; Strong US Retail sales pushes Yields; New US Bank regulation to hit profits
JAPAN. NKY Futures -1% discount vs Cash; USDJPY 145.6; Japan watching Yen - to take appropriate action says Fin Minister; JP GDP beats expectations; Typhoon Lan rips Western Japan 
NUGGET.  Japan Post Holdings -300 billion yen share buyback;  With a pile of cash from Japan Post Bank Sale (1.2 trillion to be exact), we think this just the start


Ohayo Japan|China Worries Sinks Equities; NUGGET: Japan Post Holdings - More Behind

Japan

Japan Post Holdings Co. Ltd. operates post stations, banks, and insurance business. The Company offers letters and goods transportation services, stamp sales, deposits, loans, and insurance products.

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Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)

The Bank of Japan Plays Footsie with the Market-Will They or Won’t They?

Potential impact on global markets from Japanese capital repatriation. Despite positive US economic data, the USD is no longer strengthening...

Rikki Malik

More Food (Data) For Thought

"Positive surprise in US Q4 2023 GDP, while inflation remains lower than reported! Japan's easing inflation and BOJ's potential end to negative...

Rikki Malik

Japan Shopping Malls: More Proactive and Disciplined Post-Covid

Shopping malls rebound to pre-pandemic levels, prompting optimism for the future as better management drives efficiency. This is an in-depth...

Michael Causton

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 4

In light of a weaker US and Japanese economy and a stronger Yen, sector allocation is crucial for Japanese portfolios this year. Certain sectors...

Rikki Malik

Ohayo Japan|China Worries Sinks Equities; NUGGET: Japan Post Holdings - More Behind

China worries sinks equities; NKY Futures -1% discount vs Cash; USDJPY 145.6; Japan watching Yen - to take appropriate action as needed; JP GDP...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Bank of Japan Plays Footsie with the Market-Will They or Won’t They?

Potential impact on global markets from Japanese capital repatriation. ​Despite positive US economic data, the USD is no longer strengthening...

Rikki Malik

More Food (Data) For Thought

​"Positive surprise in US Q4 2023 GDP, while inflation remains lower than reported! Japan's easing inflation and BOJ's potential end to negative...

Rikki Malik

Japan Shopping Malls: More Proactive and Disciplined Post-Covid

​Shopping malls rebound to pre-pandemic levels, prompting optimism for the future as better management drives efficiency. This is an in-depth...

Michael Causton

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 4

​In light of a weaker US and Japanese economy and a stronger Yen, sector allocation is crucial for Japanese portfolios this year. Certain sectors...

Rikki Malik

Ohayo Japan|China Worries Sinks Equities; NUGGET: Japan Post Holdings - More Behind

China worries sinks equities; NKY Futures -1% discount vs Cash; USDJPY 145.6; Japan watching Yen - to take appropriate action as needed; JP GDP...

Mark Chadwick

Potential impact on global markets from Japanese capital repatriation. Despite positive US economic data, the USD is no longer strengthening...

"Positive surprise in US Q4 2023 GDP, while inflation remains lower than reported! Japan's easing inflation and BOJ's potential end to negative...

Shopping malls rebound to pre-pandemic levels, prompting optimism for the future as better management drives efficiency. This is an in-depth...

In light of a weaker US and Japanese economy and a stronger Yen, sector allocation is crucial for Japanese portfolios this year. Certain sectors...