IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> entered a scheme implementation deed with Cooke at A$5.23 per share, a 48.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.52.</li>
<li>The offer price is an all-time share price high. The scheme is not subject to due diligence or a financing condition. Cooke also noted that it had received FIRB approval.</li>
<li>This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Tassal (TGR AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Cooke at A$5.23 per share, a 48.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.52.
The offer price is an all-time share price high. The scheme is not subject to due diligence or a financing condition. Cooke also noted that it had received FIRB approval.
This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.


<ul>
<li>On 1 July, Cooke, the spurned suitor, disclosed that it further increased its stake from 5.40% to 7.60% at an average price of A$4.59 per share. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> Board decided not to engage with Cooke as its third offer of A$4.85 per share did not reflect the fundamental value of the business. </li>
<li>Cooke's recent actions suggest that it will not be easily deterred. We think that it is likely that Cooke returns with another offer which will force the Board to engage.</li>
</ul>


On 1 July, Cooke, the spurned suitor, disclosed that it further increased its stake from 5.40% to 7.60% at an average price of A$4.59 per share. 
The Tassal (TGR AU) Board decided not to engage with Cooke as its third offer of A$4.85 per share did not reflect the fundamental value of the business. 
Cooke's recent actions suggest that it will not be easily deterred. We think that it is likely that Cooke returns with another offer which will force the Board to engage.


Tassal: Cooke Remains a Determined Suitor

<ul>
<li>Glenn Bruce Cooke has acquired a 5.40% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> at an average price of A$3.58. The shares rose 3.1% to close at a 1-year high of A$3.97.</li>
<li>Mr Cooke has shown previous interest in Tassal and its key competitor, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huon-aquaculture-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12348:1" rel="noopener">Huon Aquaculture (HUO AU)</a>. Huon was ultimately acquired by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jbs-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24455:1" rel="noopener">JBS SA (JBSS3 BZ)</a> in November 2021.</li>
<li>Tassal is a better business than Huon due to more stable operations and higher margins. Benchmarking to the Huon transaction multiples implies a floor offer price of A$4.65 per share.  </li>
</ul>


Glenn Bruce Cooke has acquired a 5.40% stake in Tassal (TGR AU) at an average price of A$3.58. The shares rose 3.1% to close at a 1-year high of A$3.97.
Mr Cooke has shown previous interest in Tassal and its key competitor, Huon Aquaculture (HUO AU). Huon was ultimately acquired by JBS SA (JBSS3 BZ) in November 2021.
Tassal is a better business than Huon due to more stable operations and higher margins. Benchmarking to the Huon transaction multiples implies a floor offer price of A$4.65 per share.  


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Indexes have plunged since violating our "lines-in-the-sand" of 3875 on EURO STOXX 50, 14,815 on the DAX, $54 on ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on ACWI(ACWI-US).</li>
<li>More recently, Japan’s TOPIX broke below the key 1840 level, as the number of countries breaking down increases.</li>
<li>We remain bearish at the index level as long as these indexes continue to make lower highs, and we expect that any bottoming process would take weeks/months to develop.</li>
</ul>


Indexes have plunged since violating our "lines-in-the-sand" of 3875 on EURO STOXX 50, 14,815 on the DAX, $54 on ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on ACWI(ACWI-US).
More recently, Japan’s TOPIX broke below the key 1840 level, as the number of countries breaking down increases.
We remain bearish at the index level as long as these indexes continue to make lower highs, and we expect that any bottoming process would take weeks/months to develop.


Monitoring For A Bottom; Focus On Defensives

United States

JBS S.A. operates as a processor of a range of meats. The Company processes meats, such as beef, pork, lamb and chicken, as well as the hides. JBS exports its products throughout the world.

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JBS S/A (JBSS3 BZ)

Tassal Recommends Cooke’s A$5.23 Offer

This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.

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Tassal: Cooke Remains a Determined Suitor

Shares are trading in line with the rejected offer price. We think that it is likely that Cooke returns with another offer which will force the...

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Tassal Is in the Crosshairs of a Suitor

Mr Cooke, who was previously interested in Huon, has acquired a 5.40% stake. Benchmarking to the Huon transaction multiples implies a floor offer...

Arun George

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

Monitoring For A Bottom; Focus On Defensives

Defensive Sectors including Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities are emerging as leadership -- add exposure. Today we are focusing on...

Vermilion Research

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