Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

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<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (ADR) (JD US)</a> reports 1Q 2026 results on 12 May, with 15 May options offering the most direct listed exposure to the earnings event.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Historical earnings moves have exceeded the current option-implied move, while the volatility term structure points to a clear event premium and expected post-results IV crush.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight compares historical earnings reactions, HK/US option pricing, and index implications, highlighting strategies for investors seeking targeted exposure or hedges.</li>
</ul>



Context:JD.com (9618 HK) / JD.com (ADR) (JD US) reports 1Q 2026 results on 12 May, with 15 May options offering the most direct listed exposure to the earnings event.

Highlights: Historical earnings moves have exceeded the current option-implied move, while the volatility term structure points to a clear event premium and expected post-results IV crush.

Why Read: This Insight compares historical earnings reactions, HK/US option pricing, and index implications, highlighting strategies for investors seeking targeted exposure or hedges.


JD.com (9618 HK / JD US) Earnings on 12 May: Historical Moves Outpace Options Pricing

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: AI Distillation in China Leaves U.S. Tech Giants at Odds</li><li>The U.S. government has leveled sweeping new accusations against China’s leading AI developers, claiming that they are conducting systematic extraction of proprietary functionalities and capabilities of American-developed models through industrial-scale knowledge distillation campaigns.</li><li>China’s Online Lenders See Profits Plunge as New Rules Bite</li></ul>

In Depth: AI Distillation in China Leaves U.S. Tech Giants at OddsThe U.S. government has leveled sweeping new accusations against China’s leading AI developers, claiming that they are conducting systematic extraction of proprietary functionalities and capabilities of American-developed models through industrial-scale knowledge distillation campaigns.China’s Online Lenders See Profits Plunge as New Rules Bite

CX Daily: AI Distillation in China Leaves U.S. Tech Giants at Odds 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

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<li>On 7 October, Hang Seng announced the conclusions of the market consultation to increase the number of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> constituents from 30 to 50.</li>
<li>While most of the proposals will be implemented as proposed, a liquidity requirement has been tightened, and revenue thresholds have been imposed for companies qualifying through the Sales Growth Stream.</li>
<li>The changes will be implemented in a single step at the December rebalance and that creates a lot of flow for all the index members, current and new.</li>
</ul>


On 7 October, Hang Seng announced the conclusions of the market consultation to increase the number of Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) constituents from 30 to 50.
While most of the proposals will be implemented as proposed, a liquidity requirement has been tightened, and revenue thresholds have been imposed for companies qualifying through the Sales Growth Stream.
The changes will be implemented in a single step at the December rebalance and that creates a lot of flow for all the index members, current and new.


HSTECH Index: Market Consultation Conclusions, Updated Potential Adds & The Borderline Names

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eeka-fashion-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17725:1" rel="noopener">EEKA Fashion (3709 HK)</a> has diversified away from only golf apparel and has successful on building apparel brands for other sports. </li>
<li>Their online sales only make up to 20% of the total sales, while the peers reached 30-40%; thus, the unit of profitability is lagging behind. </li>
<li>Currently, it lacks a catalyst for a buy while it is too risky to short sell Eeka after a period of underperformance to the peers. </li>
</ul>



EEKA Fashion (3709 HK) has diversified away from only golf apparel and has successful on building apparel brands for other sports. 
Their online sales only make up to 20% of the total sales, while the peers reached 30-40%; thus, the unit of profitability is lagging behind. 
Currently, it lacks a catalyst for a buy while it is too risky to short sell Eeka after a period of underperformance to the peers. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Suzhou Dongshan Precision A / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-dongshan-precision-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8796:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH)</a> (SDPM), a global PCB and other component provider, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>SDPM was the third largest PCB supplier and seventh largest global transceiver supplier by revenue in 2025, according to CIC.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH) (SDPM), a global PCB and other component provider, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing.
SDPM was the third largest PCB supplier and seventh largest global transceiver supplier by revenue in 2025, according to CIC.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.


Aequitas: Suzhou Dongshan Precision A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US) Earnings on 12 May: Historical Moves Outpace Options Pricing

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US) reports 1Q 2026 results on 12 May, with options pricing below historical earnings moves and event-driven IV crush expected.

Gaudenz Schneider

CX Daily: AI Distillation in China Leaves U.S. Tech Giants at Odds

In Depth: AI Distillation in China Leaves U.S. Tech Giants at Odds. The U.S. government has leveled sweeping new accusations against China’s...

Caixin Global

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation Conclusions, Updated Potential Adds & The Borderline Names

Introduction/tightening of revenue/liquidity criteria changes the list of potential adds. Estimated one-way turnover at the Dec rebalance is 14.2%...

Brian Freitas

Eeka Fashion (3709): Ladies Fashion

Good product, high gross profit margin but net margin is low due to the high cost compared to the peers. Unless they can increase their online...

Henry Soediarko

Aequitas: Suzhou Dongshan Precision A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Suzhou Dongshan Precision (002384 CH), a global PCB and other component provider, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

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