Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com's third-quarter 2025 earnings indicate a blend of moderate growth and inherent challenges.</li><li>The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase in total revenues, maintaining a double-digit growth pattern.</li><li>This uptick was driven by gains in general merchandise and marketplace and marketing revenues.</li></ul>

JD.com's third-quarter 2025 earnings indicate a blend of moderate growth and inherent challenges.The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase in total revenues, maintaining a double-digit growth pattern.This uptick was driven by gains in general merchandise and marketplace and marketing revenues.

JD.com: A Robust Competitive Positioning Anchored in Proprietary Logistics and Ecosystem Expansion!

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Over the past few trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Strategies tend to have a short-term horizon, with approximately 40% of all strategies employing weekly options. Bearish views dominate with almost 70% of strategies being put spreads.</li>
<li>
Why read: This Insight breaks down complex option strategies and sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,</li>
</ul>



Context: Over the past few trading days, JD.com (9618 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.

Highlights: Strategies tend to have a short-term horizon, with approximately 40% of all strategies employing weekly options. Bearish views dominate with almost 70% of strategies being put spreads.

Why read: This Insight breaks down complex option strategies and sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,


JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for the Hang Seng and eight prominent Hong Kong stocks</li>
<li>
Highlight: With a dense earnings calendar ahead, volatility dispersion is widening — BYD trades rich into results, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain notably cheap relative to history.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for the Hang Seng and eight prominent Hong Kong stocks

Highlight: With a dense earnings calendar ahead, volatility dispersion is widening — BYD trades rich into results, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain notably cheap relative to history.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>For 3Q25E, we anticipate JD.com (JD) to ink total revenue of RMB295.0bn, up 13.3% YoY, inline with Bloomberg consensus, and to report non-GAAP net profit of RMB4.4bn, down 67% YoY due to incremental investment in food delivery business, but better than consensus at RMB3.7bn.</li><li>We are looking for 17% YoY growth in OP for JD Retail (JDR) in 3Q25E, and our OP forecast is 5% better than consensus, driven by solid revenue growth and OPM expansion aided by the scale effect and increase in revenue contribution from high-margin services revenue.</li><li>We have baked in OP loss of RMB14.7bn for new businesses segment in 3Q25E (2Q25: loss of RMB14.8bn), among which we are looking for a slightly narrowed QoQ loss from food delivery (FD) business, aided by improvement in unit economics driven by optimization in user subsidies and improvement in operating efficiency, while offset by sequentially increased investment in other new businesses such as Jingxi. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For 3Q25E, we anticipate JD.com (JD) to ink total revenue of RMB295.0bn, up 13.3% YoY, inline with Bloomberg consensus, and to report non-GAAP net profit of RMB4.4bn, down 67% YoY due to incremental investment in food delivery business, but better than consensus at RMB3.7bn.We are looking for 17% YoY growth in OP for JD Retail (JDR) in 3Q25E, and our OP forecast is 5% better than consensus, driven by solid revenue growth and OPM expansion aided by the scale effect and increase in revenue contribution from high-margin services revenue.We have baked in OP loss of RMB14.7bn for new businesses segment in 3Q25E (2Q25: loss of RMB14.8bn), among which we are looking for a slightly narrowed QoQ loss from food delivery (FD) business, aided by improvement in unit economics driven by optimization in user subsidies and improvement in operating efficiency, while offset by sequentially increased investment in other new businesses such as Jingxi. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Core JD Retail Earnings Growth Likely Better than Expectation

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

JD.com: A Robust Competitive Positioning Anchored in Proprietary Logistics and Ecosystem Expansion!

JD.com's third-quarter 2025 earnings indicate a blend of moderate growth and inherent challenges. The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase...

Baptista Research

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment

JD.com (9618 HK) option strategies mostly bearish with put spreads and short-term focus. Trade inspiration through breakdown of complex strategies...

Gaudenz Schneider

Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

Rich vs. cheap volatility in Hong Kong’s top stocks: BYD trades rich, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain subdued, as options highlight growing...

Gaudenz Schneider

JD.com (JD US) - Core JD Retail Earnings Growth Likely Better than Expectation

For 3Q25E, we anticipate JD.com (JD) to ink total revenue of RMB295.0bn, up 13.3% YoY, inline with Bloomberg consensus, and to report non-GAAP net...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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JD.com: A Robust Competitive Positioning Anchored in Proprietary Logistics and Ecosystem Expansion!

JD.com's third-quarter 2025 earnings indicate a blend of moderate growth and inherent challenges. The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase...

Baptista Research

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment

​JD.com (9618 HK) option strategies mostly bearish with put spreads and short-term focus. Trade inspiration through breakdown of complex strategies...

Gaudenz Schneider

Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

Rich vs. cheap volatility in Hong Kong’s top stocks: BYD trades rich, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain subdued, as options highlight growing...

Gaudenz Schneider

JD.com (JD US) - Core JD Retail Earnings Growth Likely Better than Expectation

For 3Q25E, we anticipate JD.com (JD) to ink total revenue of RMB295.0bn, up 13.3% YoY, inline with Bloomberg consensus, and to report non-GAAP net...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JD.com (9618 HK) option strategies mostly bearish with put spreads and short-term focus. Trade inspiration through breakdown of complex strategies...