Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; Officially Launches, Ranks Second on iOS Download Chart.（+）</li>
<li>JD US/PDD US/BABA US : JD to launch new monthly promo event “Super 18” (/)</li>
<li>PDD US: PDD announces new requirements for some merchants (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; Officially Launches, Ranks Second on iOS Download Chart.（+）
JD US/PDD US/BABA US : JD to launch new monthly promo event “Super 18” (/)
PDD US: PDD announces new requirements for some merchants (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700HK/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US/SE US/TCOM US/ATAT US/3690HK/BABAUS

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Consumption subsidies in China has been muted in the 2020-2024 period, compared to practices in 2009-2012. We believe it reflects different thought of Chinese government at these two times;</li>
<li>Past data has suggested that consumption subsidies are effective. We expect consumer subsidies of ~RMB 50bn to be issued in C2H24 to revive consumption;</li>
<li>An even bigger consumer stimulus of ~RMB 200bn might be issued in 2025, and we believe a consumption tax reform might be one the permanent fixes for the purpose.</li>
</ul>


Consumption subsidies in China has been muted in the 2020-2024 period, compared to practices in 2009-2012. We believe it reflects different thought of Chinese government at these two times;
Past data has suggested that consumption subsidies are effective. We expect consumer subsidies of ~RMB 50bn to be issued in C2H24 to revive consumption;
An even bigger consumer stimulus of ~RMB 200bn might be issued in 2025, and we believe a consumption tax reform might be one the permanent fixes for the purpose.


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

<ul>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）
BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, there were a number of listing in the past week, most of which performed as per our expectations.</li>
<li>On the placement front, Japan continued to dominate the ECM flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, there were a number of listing in the past week, most of which performed as per our expectations.
On the placement front, Japan continued to dominate the ECM flows.


ECM Weekly (15th July 2024) - Kokusai, Wiwynn, Kelun-Biotech, Timee, Shift Up, Sanil, Avanse

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.</li><li>We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JD.com (9618 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700HK/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US/SE US/TCOM US/ATAT US/3690HK/BABAUS

Tencent's <civilization mobile> ranks second on iOS download chart, JD US to launch "Super 18" promo event, PDD US announces new requirements for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (15th July 2024) - Kokusai, Wiwynn, Kelun-Biotech, Timee, Shift Up, Sanil, Avanse

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700HK/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US/SE US/TCOM US/ATAT US/3690HK/BABAUS

​Tencent's <civilization mobile> ranks second on iOS download chart, JD US to launch "Super 18" promo event, PDD US announces new requirements for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

​China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

​NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (15th July 2024) - Kokusai, Wiwynn, Kelun-Biotech, Timee, Shift Up, Sanil, Avanse

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

Tencent's <civilization mobile> ranks second on iOS download chart, JD US to launch "Super 18" promo event, PDD US announces new requirements for...

China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...