China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>JD reported CY2Q23 top-line 3% vs. our estimate and consensus, and non-GAAP net profit 7% and 13% vs. our estimate and consensus, respecti</li>
<li>Despite the benefit of positive external factors on demand, JDs 2Q GMV grew high-single digit, which may have been slightly lower than Taobao/Tmall.</li>
<li>We maintain SELL and our US$ 32 TP unchange .</li>
</ul>


JD reported CY2Q23 top-line 3% vs. our estimate and consensus, and non-GAAP net profit 7% and 13% vs. our estimate and consensus, respecti
Despite the benefit of positive external factors on demand, JDs 2Q GMV grew high-single digit, which may have been slightly lower than Taobao/Tmall.
We maintain SELL and our US$ 32 TP unchange .


[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Earnings Review]: Slowing 3C Sales Will Impact 2H, Maintain SELL

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>The main business line, home appliance began to grow by two digits.</li>
<li>Logistics revenue continued to grow strongly by 51% YoY and can still break even.</li>
<li>The operating profit rose to RMB7.3 bn in 2Q23 versus RMB3.8 bn in 2Q22.</li>
</ul>


The main business line, home appliance began to grow by two digits.
Logistics revenue continued to grow strongly by 51% YoY and can still break even.
The operating profit rose to RMB7.3 bn in 2Q23 versus RMB3.8 bn in 2Q22.


JD (9618 HK): 2Q23, Main Business Began to Recover, Buy

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>JD reported 2Q results that were slightly better than the street expected.</li>
<li>But the set of results did little to alleviate our concerns about the structural challenges JD need to combat.</li>
<li>We still don’t think JD represents a viable investment case due to its lack of growth catalysts (vs. PDD) and attractive valuation (vs. Alibaba). We would stay on the sideline.</li>
</ul>


JD reported 2Q results that were slightly better than the street expected.
But the set of results did little to alleviate our concerns about the structural challenges JD need to combat.
We still don’t think JD represents a viable investment case due to its lack of growth catalysts (vs. PDD) and attractive valuation (vs. Alibaba). We would stay on the sideline.


Jindong (JD US): We Would Stay on the Sideline

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).</li><li>Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 7M23 online retail sales GMV/ online physical goods GMV reached RMB8.3/7.0tn, up 12.5/10.0% YoY.</li><li>The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption recovery still takes time.</li><li>Although overall topline growth of e-commerce platforms is likely to face short-term fluctuation due to macro uncertainties, e-commerce platforms are driving revenue growth and scale expansion in an efficient way and targeting for operating efficiency improvement, which likely leads to a benign than expected industry competition, and better than expected earnings growth in 2Q-3Q23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 7M23 online retail sales GMV/ online physical goods GMV reached RMB8.3/7.0tn, up 12.5/10.0% YoY.The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption recovery still takes time.Although overall topline growth of e-commerce platforms is likely to face short-term fluctuation due to macro uncertainties, e-commerce platforms are driving revenue growth and scale expansion in an efficient way and targeting for operating efficiency improvement, which likely leads to a benign than expected industry competition, and better than expected earnings growth in 2Q-3Q23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – July online retail sales recap

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Earnings Review]: Slowing 3C Sales Will Impact 2H, Maintain SELL

Despite the benefit of positive external factors on demand, JDs 2Q GMV grew high-single digit, which may have been slightly lower than Taobao/Tmall.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD (9618 HK): 2Q23, Main Business Began to Recover, Buy

The main business line, home appliance began to grow by two digits. Logistics revenue continued to grow strongly and can still break even. The...

Ming Lu

Jindong (JD US): We Would Stay on the Sideline

JD's better-than-consensus 2Q results did not convince us that it is a viable investment case at current valuation. We would stay on the sideline.

Eric Chen

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.

CMB International

China Internet – July online retail sales recap

The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption...

CMB International

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