Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In H1 and Q2 this year, JD Logistics' top-line growth remained strong, growing by 20%+</li>
<li>But margins have continued to erode in recent periods, probably due to changes in mix</li>
<li>Down close to HK$10 per share, we believe lots of negativity is "baked in" to price</li>
</ul>


In H1 and Q2 this year, JD Logistics' top-line growth remained strong, growing by 20%+
But margins have continued to erode in recent periods, probably due to changes in mix
Down close to HK$10 per share, we believe lots of negativity is "baked in" to price


JD Logistics H1/Q2 Results | Momentum, Profitability Show Mixed Signals | Shares Drained Of Optimism

<ul>
<li>Full Truck Alliance showed strong improvement in core margin in Q226 due to mix change</li>
<li>We believe the company's rate of top-line growth could begin to accelerate by end of H226</li>
<li>At ~12x FY26 EPS and featuring a 4% dividend yield, shares appear attractive below US$9</li>
</ul>


Full Truck Alliance showed strong improvement in core margin in Q226 due to mix change
We believe the company's rate of top-line growth could begin to accelerate by end of H226
At ~12x FY26 EPS and featuring a 4% dividend yield, shares appear attractive below US$9


Full Truck Alliance Q226 Result: Sharp Improvement in Core Margin, Shares Attractive Below US$9

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China consumption shows rebounding demand following appreciation in asset values and home appliance subsidies. A record number of parcels were delivered last week, while home appliance sales grew rapidly;</li>
<li>We’ve raised 4Q estimates for online shopping growth given the recent demand trends which we expect to sustain through the quarter, so long as stimulus remains forthcoming;</li>
<li>JD and BABA remain our top ecommerce picks given their exposure to recent home appliance subsidies, as well as benefiting from a longer-term improvement in consumer sentiment.</li>
</ul>


China consumption shows rebounding demand following appreciation in asset values and home appliance subsidies. A record number of parcels were delivered last week, while home appliance sales grew rapidly;
We’ve raised 4Q estimates for online shopping growth given the recent demand trends which we expect to sustain through the quarter, so long as stimulus remains forthcoming;
JD and BABA remain our top ecommerce picks given their exposure to recent home appliance subsidies, as well as benefiting from a longer-term improvement in consumer sentiment.


Old E-Commerce Names Are The Biggest Winners of New Stimulus

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>New regulations affecting SHEIN and other retailers are becoming visible on the horizon</li>
<li>We believe coming changes will hit SHEIN and its peers harder than traditional retailers</li>
<li>We look at California's SB 707 law as an illustrative example of new challenges facing SHEIN</li>
</ul>


New regulations affecting SHEIN and other retailers are becoming visible on the horizon
We believe coming changes will hit SHEIN and its peers harder than traditional retailers
We look at California's SB 707 law as an illustrative example of new challenges facing SHEIN


SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong | Pressures from New Rules To Grow, Will Hit Low-Price Platforms Hardest

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 10th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Gcl Technology (3800 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Gcl Technology (3800 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Gcl Technology, Link Reit

China

JD Logistics is a technology-driven supply chain solutions and logistics services provider, offering warehousing, distribution, and express and freight delivery. It serves various industries including fast-moving consumer goods, apparel, and automotive. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2007.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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JD Logistics (2618 HK)

JD Logistics H1/Q2 Results | Momentum, Profitability Show Mixed Signals | Shares Drained Of Optimism

Shares have "round tripped" since March 2026 and at HK$10 there appears to be lots of negativity baked into the price. At just 8x consensus 2026F...

Tracking Traffic

Full Truck Alliance Q226 Result: Sharp Improvement in Core Margin, Shares Attractive Below US$9

Here in Q326 Full Truck Alliance is lapping the last set of challenging Y/Y revenue comps; it should return to improved top-line growth in Q426 and...

Tracking Traffic

Old E-Commerce Names Are The Biggest Winners of New Stimulus

China's consumption seeing increased demand for home appliances and online shopping, leading to record parcel deliveries. JD and BABA are top...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong | Pressures from New Rules To Grow, Will Hit Low-Price Platforms Hardest

In its first day of trading on September 1, SHEIN's shares closed down 0.1% in Hong Kong after initially falling close to 10%. We're re-surfacing a...

Tracking Traffic

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Gcl Technology, Link Reit

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JD Logistics H1/Q2 Results | Momentum, Profitability Show Mixed Signals | Shares Drained Of Optimism

Shares have "round tripped" since March 2026 and at HK$10 there appears to be lots of negativity baked into the price. At just 8x consensus 2026F...

Tracking Traffic

Full Truck Alliance Q226 Result: Sharp Improvement in Core Margin, Shares Attractive Below US$9

Here in Q326 Full Truck Alliance is lapping the last set of challenging Y/Y revenue comps; it should return to improved top-line growth in Q426 and...

Tracking Traffic

Old E-Commerce Names Are The Biggest Winners of New Stimulus

​China's consumption seeing increased demand for home appliances and online shopping, leading to record parcel deliveries. JD and BABA are top...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong | Pressures from New Rules To Grow, Will Hit Low-Price Platforms Hardest

In its first day of trading on September 1, SHEIN's shares closed down 0.1% in Hong Kong after initially falling close to 10%. We're re-surfacing a...

Tracking Traffic

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Gcl Technology, Link Reit

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China's consumption seeing increased demand for home appliances and online shopping, leading to record parcel deliveries. JD and BABA are top...