Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese equities slid as rising US long-term yields overwhelmed strong domestic fundamentals and hit AI-linked, long-duration technology valuations. </li>
<li>Treasury long-end buybacks helped yields retreat, exposing Japanese semiconductor stocks’ growing sensitivity to Washington’s debt-management decisions. </li>
<li>AI capex remains Japan’s growth engine, but higher US term premia threaten valuations, making November’s buyback expiry a key test.</li>
</ul>


Japanese equities slid as rising US long-term yields overwhelmed strong domestic fundamentals and hit AI-linked, long-duration technology valuations. 
Treasury long-end buybacks helped yields retreat, exposing Japanese semiconductor stocks’ growing sensitivity to Washington’s debt-management decisions. 
AI capex remains Japan’s growth engine, but higher US term premia threaten valuations, making November’s buyback expiry a key test.


Japan Strategy Weekly | AI Winners Held Hostage to US Bond Yields

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.</li>
<li>Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.</li>
<li>Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.</li>
</ul>


Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.
Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.
Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.


Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

<ul>
<li>Comments from STMicro CEO reflect a similar positiveness from Onsemi management for auto and industrial chips.</li>
<li>Memory plays strong but still limited follow through for Japanese HDD component makers.</li>
<li>Plant Labs strong earnings highlights the importance of satellite images...positive IQPS, Synspective and Sky perfect.</li>
</ul>


Comments from STMicro CEO reflect a similar positiveness from Onsemi management for auto and industrial chips.
Memory plays strong but still limited follow through for Japanese HDD component makers.
Plant Labs strong earnings highlights the importance of satellite images...positive IQPS, Synspective and Sky perfect.


Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Semi Names Leading Tech Higher once Again

<ul>
<li>New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.</li>
<li>Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.</li>
<li>Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.</li>
</ul>


New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.
Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.
Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.


Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

<ul>
<li>Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.</li>
<li>Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.</li>
<li>US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.</li>
</ul>


Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.
Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.
US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

Japan

JEOL Ltd. manufactures electron optics instruments and analytical instruments including electron microscope, X-ray diffractometer and spectrometer and thermographs.  The Company also makes semiconductor manufacturing equipment, medical equipment and industrial equipment.

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Jeol Ltd (6951 JP)

Japan Strategy Weekly | AI Winners Held Hostage to US Bond Yields

Japanese AI winners are enjoying a powerful capex boom, but their valuations are increasingly hostage to US long-term yields and Treasury policy.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

Meta is surging +11% after reporting 1Q sales guidance. Tesla plans to invest $2bn in Musk’s xAI. Expect whole SPE ecosystem in Japan to be sharply...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Semi Names Leading Tech Higher once Again

Onsemi +6.1% setting a good tone for JP peers. Japaenese satallite names performing well ahead of Japan's MoD announcement.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Kadokawa and Bandai Namco attractive as longs, may be increased focus on derivative wire and cable plays as well as Japan's EUV related.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Japan Strategy Weekly | AI Winners Held Hostage to US Bond Yields

Japanese AI winners are enjoying a powerful capex boom, but their valuations are increasingly hostage to US long-term yields and Treasury policy.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

Meta is surging +11% after reporting 1Q sales guidance. Tesla plans to invest $2bn in Musk’s xAI. Expect whole SPE ecosystem in Japan to be sharply...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Semi Names Leading Tech Higher once Again

Onsemi +6.1% setting a good tone for JP peers. Japaenese satallite names performing well ahead of Japan's MoD announcement.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Kadokawa and Bandai Namco attractive as longs, may be increased focus on derivative wire and cable plays as well as Japan's EUV related.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

​US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...