Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. </li>
<li>We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. 
We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. 


The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Expressway Co H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>By way of its 54.79% ownership in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zheshang-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29981:1" rel="noopener">Zheshang Securities (601878 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK)</a> is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  </li>
<li>The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.</li>
<li>ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.</li>
</ul>


By way of its 54.79% ownership in Zheshang Securities (601878 CH), Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK) is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  
The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.
ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's toll road sector has gone up by 47.4% since 2022, but it remains an excellent yield play with an average yield of 7.2% and 7.8% in FY24 and FY25.</li>
<li>1Q24 profit is solid, with 3-year forecast earnings CAGR at a healthy 6.5%. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-expressway-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5236:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Expressway H (995 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)</a> have the most consistent DPS trend.</li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)</a> for its track record and growth prospects. As a relative underperformer in the sector, it is poised to catch up.</li>
</ul>


China's toll road sector has gone up by 47.4% since 2022, but it remains an excellent yield play with an average yield of 7.2% and 7.8% in FY24 and FY25.
1Q24 profit is solid, with 3-year forecast earnings CAGR at a healthy 6.5%. Anhui Expressway H (995 HK) and Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK) have the most consistent DPS trend.
We like Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK) for its track record and growth prospects. As a relative underperformer in the sector, it is poised to catch up.


China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

China

Jiangsu Expressway Company Ltd. constructs, operates, manages and maintains expressways in China.  The Company also provides passenger transportation and other ancillary services along including fueling stations, restaurants, car maintenance and repair and advertising.

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Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

Quiddity's New & Improved And Really Quite Spiffy H/A Discount Monitor. All the H/A Pairs, universe & sector metrics, with interactive tables and...

Travis Lundy

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

​Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

​China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...