IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sigenergy Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230084" rel="noopener">Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-6656-hk-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230285" rel="noopener">Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK) priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.
The IPO was discussed in Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case and Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a>, as a leader in distributed energy storage system solutions, has an impressive profit record and is forecast to sustain.</li>
<li>Sales of its flagship product, SigenStor, surged 314.3% in 2M26, and confirmed orders reaching Rmb3.8bn at end-Feb. We expect the 3-year EPS CAGR at 41.7%.</li>
<li>The IPO price (HK$324.2) translates into 12x FY26F PER, cheaper than 20.8x for the HK peers. At a 20-30% discount to peers, its fair value range implies 21-39% upside.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK), as a leader in distributed energy storage system solutions, has an impressive profit record and is forecast to sustain.
Sales of its flagship product, SigenStor, surged 314.3% in 2M26, and confirmed orders reaching Rmb3.8bn at end-Feb. We expect the 3-year EPS CAGR at 41.7%.
The IPO price (HK$324.2) translates into 12x FY26F PER, cheaper than 20.8x for the HK peers. At a 20-30% discount to peers, its fair value range implies 21-39% upside.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a> is a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$562 million.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230084" rel="noopener">Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK) is a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$562 million.
I previously discussed the IPO in Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy (SIG CH)</a>, a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise around US$500-600 million.   </li>
<li>The flagship product is SigenStor, which is the first ESS solution in the industry to combine five-in-one functionalities and among the first to adopt stacking technologies.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on the market positioning, rapid growth, margin expansion, declining cash burn and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy (SIG CH), a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise around US$500-600 million.   
The flagship product is SigenStor, which is the first ESS solution in the industry to combine five-in-one functionalities and among the first to adopt stacking technologies.
The investment case rests on the market positioning, rapid growth, margin expansion, declining cash burn and modest leverage.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Guotai Haitong Securities / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.
There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

China

GoodWe Technologies Co.,Ltd produces and sells power supply equipment. The Compa ny manufactures and sells photovoltaic grid-connected inverter, photovoltaic ene rgy storage inverter, intelligent data collector, and other products. GoodWe Tec hnologies markets its products primarily throughout China with limited overseas.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

GoodWe Technologies (688390 CH)

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Go for It!

Sigenergy is a leader in distributed energy storage solutions with impressive profit growth and a promising future. Its IPO price of HK$324.20...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Sigenergy, a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$562 million. In this note, I...

Arun George

Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case

Sigenergy, a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise around US$500-600 million....

Arun George

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the Dec rebal. Estimated turnover is 2.9% and round-trip trade is US$1.6bn. Adds outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Go for It!

​Sigenergy is a leader in distributed energy storage solutions with impressive profit growth and a promising future. Its IPO price of HK$324.20...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Sigenergy, a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$562 million. In this note, I...

Arun George

Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case

Sigenergy, a global leader in distributed energy storage system (DESS) solutions, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise around US$500-600 million....

Arun George

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the Dec rebal. Estimated turnover is 2.9% and round-trip trade is US$1.6bn. Adds outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Sigenergy is a leader in distributed energy storage solutions with impressive profit growth and a promising future. Its IPO price of HK$324.20...