HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For the 16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year, the average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount is 9.1pp, with growth prospects remaining the key driver. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortior-technology-shenzhen-co-ltd-e8c112a6-e6de-44cc-812a-084509c2cf7c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45496:1" rel="noopener">Fortior Technology (1304 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd-e5b2bacc-ed46-4d8e-bfb1-ff952e730eae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45752:1" rel="noopener">SICC (2631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy (6031 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">CIG Shanghai (6166 HK)</a> are high-growth names with discount reduction.</li>
<li>Opportunities exist in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:942:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Joyson Electronic (699 HK)</a> as they are expected to post 30%+ EPS CAGR, yet the discount has widened. </li>
</ul>


For the 16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year, the average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount is 9.1pp, with growth prospects remaining the key driver. 

Lens Technology (6613 HK), Fortior Technology (1304 HK), SICC (2631 HK), Sany Heavy (6031 HK), and CIG Shanghai (6166 HK) are high-growth names with discount reduction.
Opportunities exist in Seres Group (9927 HK) and Ningbo Joyson Electronic (699 HK) as they are expected to post 30%+ EPS CAGR, yet the discount has widened. 


HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Sep 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, real estate, materials and offset by industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Innocare Pharma, Vgt, ABC, Yofc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Sep 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, real estate, materials and offset by industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Innocare Pharma, Vgt, ABC, Yofc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 25th): Innocare Pharma, Vgt, ABC, Yofc

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. </li>
<li>Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.
Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. 
Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK)</a> 1H26 revenue rose 40% YoY as finished drugs and licensing revenue, both witnessed growth. The company ended 1H26 with a net profit of RMB 6.5B.</li>
<li>The finished drug segment achieved revenue of RMB 10.2B, up 11% YoY, with the nervous system and cardiovascular system revenue up 28% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices. We remain bullish on the name.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) 1H26 revenue rose 40% YoY as finished drugs and licensing revenue, both witnessed growth. The company ended 1H26 with a net profit of RMB 6.5B.
The finished drug segment achieved revenue of RMB 10.2B, up 11% YoY, with the nervous system and cardiovascular system revenue up 28% and 19% respectively.
CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices. We remain bullish on the name.


CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs, Licensing Up 1H26 Sales; SYS6010 Will Be Key In Near Future

<ul>
<li>Fosun Pharmaceutical’s marketing application of acute lymphoblastic leukemia drug was accepted by the NMPA. CSPC Pharma obtained approval to conduct clinical trial for Leqembi biosimilar in China.</li>
<li>Celltrion is acquiring Eli Lilly’s New Jersey biopharmaceutical production plant for KRW460B. Lotus Pharmaceutical is acquiring Alvogen US, a privately held, fully integrated pharmaceutical company.</li>
<li>Glenmark Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license and collaboration agreement with Hengrui Pharma for Trastuzumab Rezetecan, a next-generation HER2-targeting antibody drug conjugate (ADC) for an upfront payment of $18M.</li>
</ul>


Fosun Pharmaceutical’s marketing application of acute lymphoblastic leukemia drug was accepted by the NMPA. CSPC Pharma obtained approval to conduct clinical trial for Leqembi biosimilar in China.
Celltrion is acquiring Eli Lilly’s New Jersey biopharmaceutical production plant for KRW460B. Lotus Pharmaceutical is acquiring Alvogen US, a privately held, fully integrated pharmaceutical company.
Glenmark Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license and collaboration agreement with Hengrui Pharma for Trastuzumab Rezetecan, a next-generation HER2-targeting antibody drug conjugate (ADC) for an upfront payment of $18M.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (September 28) – Fosun Pharma, CSPC Pharma, Celltrion, Lotus Pharma, Glenmark

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals is a global biopharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative and high-quality drugs. The company focuses on therapeutic areas including oncology, metabolic and cardiovascular diseases, immunological and respiratory diseases, and neuroscience. It was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Lianyungang, Jiangsu, China.

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)

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Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)

HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 25th): Innocare Pharma, Vgt, ABC, Yofc

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Innocare Pharma, Victory Giant Technology, ABC, Yofc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs, Licensing Up 1H26 Sales; SYS6010 Will Be Key In Near Future

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 1H26 revenue rose 40% YoY as finished drugs and licensing grew. CSPC targets the high-end market to achieve...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (September 28) – Fosun Pharma, CSPC Pharma, Celltrion, Lotus Pharma, Glenmark

CSPC Pharma got trial approval for Leqembi biosimilar. Celltrion is acquiring Lilly’s plant. Lotus Pharmaceutical is acquiring Alvogen US. Hengrui...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

​16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 25th): Innocare Pharma, Vgt, ABC, Yofc

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Innocare Pharma, Victory Giant Technology, ABC, Yofc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs, Licensing Up 1H26 Sales; SYS6010 Will Be Key In Near Future

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 1H26 revenue rose 40% YoY as finished drugs and licensing grew. CSPC targets the high-end market to achieve...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (September 28) – Fosun Pharma, CSPC Pharma, Celltrion, Lotus Pharma, Glenmark

CSPC Pharma got trial approval for Leqembi biosimilar. Celltrion is acquiring Lilly’s plant. Lotus Pharmaceutical is acquiring Alvogen US. Hengrui...

Tina Banerjee

16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...