Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Technical Analysis

<p>Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.</p>

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Broadex Technologies Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in 2 stocks that are forecast adds for both indices. There are 14 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June to August, but there has been significant underperformance since then. Outperformance could resume as positioning kicks in prior to announcement.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.
The largest flows will be in 2 stocks that are forecast adds for both indices. There are 14 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June to August, but there has been significant underperformance since then. Outperformance could resume as positioning kicks in prior to announcement.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd. / Index Rebalance

Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd. (300070 CH)

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 7 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 7 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry / Index Rebalance

Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry (300761 CH)

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 5 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 5 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: ~US$900mn Combined Flows One-Way; New Pair Trades

Jiangsu Jiejie Microelectronic / Index Rebalance

Jiangsu Jiejie Microelectronic (300623 CH)

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 3 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event worth a combined US$600mm+ one-way.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 3 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event worth a combined US$600mm+ one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: One Change to Expectations; US$636mn Total One-Way

China

Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor discrete components. The Company develops, produces, and distributes thyristors, protection devices, power modules, diodes, transistors, and other products. Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics markets its products worldwide.

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Jiangsu Jiejie Microelectronic (300623 CH)

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity....

Vermilion Research

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/Chinext50 indices in Dec. Largest flows in the 2 stocks that are adds for both indices. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

We expect US$989mn and US$276mn one-way flows, respectively, from the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events in December 2025. There are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: ~US$900mn Combined Flows One-Way; New Pair Trades

Collectively, we see around US$900mn in one-way flows for the ChiNext index and the ChiNext 50 index. Some names already have significant volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: One Change to Expectations; US$636mn Total One-Way

Jiangsu Jiejie Microelectronic (300623 CH) has replaced Hanshow Tech (301275 CH) in our expected ADDs basket since our last insight. We see...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity....

Vermilion Research

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/Chinext50 indices in Dec. Largest flows in the 2 stocks that are adds for both indices. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

We expect US$989mn and US$276mn one-way flows, respectively, from the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events in December 2025. There are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: ~US$900mn Combined Flows One-Way; New Pair Trades

Collectively, we see around US$900mn in one-way flows for the ChiNext index and the ChiNext 50 index. Some names already have significant volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: One Change to Expectations; US$636mn Total One-Way

Jiangsu Jiejie Microelectronic (300623 CH) has replaced Hanshow Tech (301275 CH) in our expected ADDs basket since our last insight. We see...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes