Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock / Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock (605376 CH)

<ul>
<li>Boqian New Materials, a high-end electronic metal powders manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. GTJA is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: nickel-based powders for MLCC electrodes and copper-based powders for PV metallization.</li>
<li>We discussed our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Boqian New Materials, a high-end electronic metal powders manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. GTJA is the sole sponsor.
We look at the company's core segments: nickel-based powders for MLCC electrodes and copper-based powders for PV metallization.
We discussed our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.


Boqian New Materials (博迁新材) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong equities extended their advance, although recent momentum showed signs of levelling off after a strong start to the week.</li>
<li>Strong gains across several Materials stocks helped distinguish the sector from the broader market advance.</li>
<li>Tencent’s sharp decline generated exceptionally heavy option activity and drove the increase in Communication Services sector volumes.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong equities extended their advance, although recent momentum showed signs of levelling off after a strong start to the week.
Strong gains across several Materials stocks helped distinguish the sector from the broader market advance.
Tencent’s sharp decline generated exceptionally heavy option activity and drove the increase in Communication Services sector volumes.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly July 20–24: Tencent Drives Option Activity, Materials Surge

<ul>
<li>Market weakness, poor breadth and renewed focus on lockup expiries created a fragile backdrop for Hong Kong equities.</li>
<li>Single stock implied vol remained elevated relative to index implied vol, extending a trend that has led to a widening divergence.</li>
<li>The recent outperformance in Financial stocks came to an end as sector breadth deteriorated sharply.</li>
</ul>


Market weakness, poor breadth and renewed focus on lockup expiries created a fragile backdrop for Hong Kong equities.
Single stock implied vol remained elevated relative to index implied vol, extending a trend that has led to a widening divergence.
The recent outperformance in Financial stocks came to an end as sector breadth deteriorated sharply.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly June 15–18: Lockups and Vol Divergence in Focus

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>GEM Co. is seeking to raise at least USD100m through an A+H listing. J.P. Morgan, CITIC, and CSI are the sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: new energy materials and critical metal resources.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary view on fair value using A-H premium references.</li>
</ul>


GEM Co. is seeking to raise at least USD100m through an A+H listing. J.P. Morgan, CITIC, and CSI are the sponsors.
We look at the company's core segments: new energy materials and critical metal resources.
We discuss our preliminary view on fair value using A-H premium references.


China

Jiangxi Copper is China's largest integrated copper producer, involved in the exploration, mining, smelting, and refining of copper. The company also produces gold, silver, lead, zinc, rare metals, and sulfuric acid, and engages in trade, financial services, and logistics. It was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Nanchang, Jiangxi Province, China.

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Jiangxi Copper (358 HK)

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Boqian New Materials (博迁新材) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Boqian New Materials is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early thought...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly July 20–24: Tencent Drives Option Activity, Materials Surge

Tencent’s sharp decline dominated option activity while surging Materials stocks stood out against a broader market advance that showed signs of...

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly June 15–18: Lockups and Vol Divergence in Focus

Hong Kong stocks weakened in a holiday-shortened week as poor breadth, lockup concerns and widening implied vol divergence shaped the backdrop.

John Ley

GEM Co. A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thought

GEM Co. is seeking to raise at least USD100m in an A+H listing. This note reviews the business, industry context, and early valuation reference...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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