Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.</li>
<li>There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.</li>
<li>One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.</li>
</ul>


The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.
There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.
One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Puxiang Healthcare Holding / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Hospital operation is an asset-heavy industry with large balance of fixed assets and intangible assets. So, there is a situation of expense “front-loading” and profit “back-loading” in Puxiang.</li>
<li>Puxiang’s single-digit net profit margin is unsatisfactory. Net profit CAGR is much lower than revenue CAGR. Considering VBP and DRGs/DIP, Puxiang’s future net profit performance is unsettling.</li>
<li>Due to concerns on profitability and future growth outlook, we think valuation of Puxiang should be lower than Topchoice, Aier, Hygeia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinxin-fertility-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28003:1" rel="noopener">Jinxin</a>, but could be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-medical-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:357:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Medical</a>
</li>
</ul>


Hospital operation is an asset-heavy industry with large balance of fixed assets and intangible assets. So, there is a situation of expense “front-loading” and profit “back-loading” in Puxiang.
Puxiang’s single-digit net profit margin is unsatisfactory. Net profit CAGR is much lower than revenue CAGR. Considering VBP and DRGs/DIP, Puxiang’s future net profit performance is unsettling.
Due to concerns on profitability and future growth outlook, we think valuation of Puxiang should be lower than Topchoice, Aier, Hygeia, Jinxin, but could be higher than China Resources Medical



Pre-IPO Puxiang Healthcare Holding - Weak Profitability Is the Major Concern

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.  </li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$57.55bn (US$7.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> has flipped from a net buy to a net sell following its huge rally yesterday.</li>
</ul>


The September rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.  
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$57.55bn (US$7.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Alibaba (9988 HK) has flipped from a net buy to a net sell following its huge rally yesterday.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Hygeia Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1H25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygeia-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28875:1" rel="noopener">Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)</a> reported revenue decline of 16% YoY to RMB 1,990 million mainly dragged by 18% YoY decrease in inpatient revenues.</li>
<li>Hygeia’s gross profit margin contracted 520bps YoY to 26.6%. Net profit decreased 36% on higher finance cost despite of income tax expenses being lower.</li>
<li>Incremental growth advantage from inorganic expansion slowly wanes out for Hygeia. Competitive pressure limits room for incremental price realization.</li>
</ul>


In 1H25, Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK) reported revenue decline of 16% YoY to RMB 1,990 million mainly dragged by 18% YoY decrease in inpatient revenues.
Hygeia’s gross profit margin contracted 520bps YoY to 26.6%. Net profit decreased 36% on higher finance cost despite of income tax expenses being lower.
Incremental growth advantage from inorganic expansion slowly wanes out for Hygeia. Competitive pressure limits room for incremental price realization.


Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK): Prolonged Winter? Or Is There Light Visible At the End of the Tunnel?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

China

Jinxin Fertility Group Limited provides assisted reproductive services. The Company offers vitro fertilization services, embryo transfer services, management services, and other services. Jinxin Fertility Group also provides ancillary medical services.

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Jinxin Fertility Group (1951 HK)

IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

Pre-IPO Puxiang Healthcare Holding - Weak Profitability Is the Major Concern

Hospital operation is asset-heavy industry.Puxiang's net profit CAGR is lower than revenue CAGR,with unsatisfactory net profit margin and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK): Prolonged Winter? Or Is There Light Visible At the End of the Tunnel?

Hygeia Healthcare reports 16% revenue decline in 1H25, dragged by decrease in inpatient revenues. Growth advantage from inorganic expansion wanes....

Tina Banerjee

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

We estimate inflows into HK via southbound trade were $18bn in August, at four month high. We highlight inflows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

Pre-IPO Puxiang Healthcare Holding - Weak Profitability Is the Major Concern

Hospital operation is asset-heavy industry.Puxiang's net profit CAGR is lower than revenue CAGR,with unsatisfactory net profit margin and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK): Prolonged Winter? Or Is There Light Visible At the End of the Tunnel?

​Hygeia Healthcare reports 16% revenue decline in 1H25, dragged by decrease in inpatient revenues. Growth advantage from inorganic expansion wanes....

Tina Banerjee

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

We estimate inflows into HK via southbound trade were $18bn in August, at four month high. We highlight inflows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hygeia Healthcare reports 16% revenue decline in 1H25, dragged by decrease in inpatient revenues. Growth advantage from inorganic expansion wanes....