Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Equity ETF flows in China continued to lead Asia as the "National Team" in China supports market levels during the 3rd Plenum.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boc-aviation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22689:1" rel="noopener">BOC Aviation (2588 HK)</a> saw positive news sentiment and share price movements for the week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiumaojiu-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28293:1" rel="noopener">Jiumaojiu (9922 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aluminum-corporation-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6884:1" rel="noopener">Aluminum Corporation Of China (2600 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> saw negative news sentiment and share price drops for the week.</li>
</ul>


Equity ETF flows in China continued to lead Asia as the "National Team" in China supports market levels during the 3rd Plenum.

CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) , Genscript Biotech (1548 HK) and BOC Aviation (2588 HK) saw positive news sentiment and share price movements for the week.

Jiumaojiu (9922 HK) , Aluminum Corporation Of China (2600 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) saw negative news sentiment and share price drops for the week.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 19)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136692" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136734" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case and Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Jiumaojiu International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$8.39 (we now assume a gradual improvement in SSS recovery rate onwards as the group is rolling out more new initiatives this year).</li><li>We are still cautious about catering sector, but JMJ’s numbers have stabilized lately.</li><li>A rebound in share price is possible given undemanding valuation (12x FY24E P/E) while our TP is based on 17x and 3-year sales/ NP CAGR are at 20%/ 25%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$8.39 (we now assume a gradual improvement in SSS recovery rate onwards as the group is rolling out more new initiatives this year).We are still cautious about catering sector, but JMJ’s numbers have stabilized lately.A rebound in share price is possible given undemanding valuation (12x FY24E P/E) while our TP is based on 17x and 3-year sales/ NP CAGR are at 20%/ 25%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Jiumaojiu (9922 HK) - Resilient Margin in 2H23 with Positive Outlook

China

Jiumaojiu International manages and operates a portfolio of Chinese cuisine restaurant brands, including Tai Er (known for sauerkraut fish), Song Hot Pot, and Jiu Mao Jiu (offering family-oriented food). The company also engages in food processing, central kitchen operations, and delivery services. It was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

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Jiumaojiu International (9922 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 19)

Equity ETF flows in China benefited from National Team buying this week. CK Infrastructure, Genscript Bio and BOC Aviation saw positive news...

David Mudd

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Jiumaojiu (9922 HK) - Resilient Margin in 2H23 with Positive Outlook

Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$8.39 (we now assume a gradual improvement in SSS recovery rate onwards as the group is rolling out more new...

CMB International

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