IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

i-Tail Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. </li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
In I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>J.M. Smucker business has seen a massive transformation over the past decade and is now predominantly coffee and pet food company.</li><li>The massive acquisitions have so far failed to translate into higher topline growth or increased return on capital.</li><li>Competition in pet food and coffee is intensifying, and J.M. Smucker seems to be at a disadvantage to larger players.</li></ul>

J.M. Smucker business has seen a massive transformation over the past decade and is now predominantly coffee and pet food company.The massive acquisitions have so far failed to translate into higher topline growth or increased return on capital.Competition in pet food and coffee is intensifying, and J.M. Smucker seems to be at a disadvantage to larger players.

J.M. Smucker Is Poorly Positioned And Set To Underperform

United States

The JM Smucker Company manufactures and markets food products on a worldwide basis. The Company's principal products include peanut butter, shortening and oils, fruit spreads, canned milk, baking mixes and ready-to-spread frostings, flour and baking ingredients, juices and beverages, frozen sandwiches, dessert toppings, syrups, pickles and condiments, and potato side dishes.

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Jm Smucker Co (SJM US)

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of...

Sumeet Singh

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

I-Tail Corporation, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

J.M. Smucker Is Poorly Positioned And Set To Underperform

J.M. Smucker business has seen a massive transformation over the past decade and is now predominantly coffee and pet food company. The massive...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

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