Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we forecast two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wha-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:104:1" rel="noopener">WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart PCL (JMART TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngern-tid-lor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31103:1" rel="noopener">Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT TB)</a> is a very close delete on market cap, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> is a close delete on liquidity. Multiple possibilities here.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we forecast two changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.

Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) and WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB) could replace Jaymart PCL (JMART TB) and Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB).

JMT Network Services (JMT TB) is a very close delete on market cap, while Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) is a close delete on liquidity. Multiple possibilities here.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes - One High Probability; One Has Possibilities

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.</li>
<li>I currently see 2 ADDs and 2 DELs but the next-in-line names are lurking close to the border.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> is one of these potential ADDs and there might be an interesting pair trade against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB)</a> for the next few weeks. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.
I currently see 2 ADDs and 2 DELs but the next-in-line names are lurking close to the border.

Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) is one of these potential ADDs and there might be an interesting pair trade against Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB) for the next few weeks. 


Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23: TLI Vs BLA Pair Trade Seems Interesting

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, I expect 2 ADDs/DELs but there are couple of names close to the border and final rankings could change with changes in share prices.</li>
<li>The three-month reference period used for the June 2023 rebalance will end on 31st May 2022.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.
Based on the latest available data, I expect 2 ADDs/DELs but there are couple of names close to the border and final rankings could change with changes in share prices.
The three-month reference period used for the June 2023 rebalance will end on 31st May 2022.


Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23 Review: TLI ADD & JMART DEL Likely; BJC Is a Question Mark

<ul>
<li>The completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger could cause an intra-review change next week.</li>
<li>There could be two more index changes in the regular review in June 2023.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the current rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs and their recent price and volume performance. </li>
</ul>


The completion of the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) - True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger could cause an intra-review change next week.
There could be two more index changes in the regular review in June 2023.
In this insight, we take a look at the current rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs and their recent price and volume performance. 


Quiddity Leaderboard for SET Jun 23: DTAC-TRUE Intra-Review Changes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart (JMART)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 (COM7)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group (RATCH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (STGT)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.1% and will result in a one-way trade of THB 1,914m. There is little funding flow on the other index stocks.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB)</a> is a minor surprise. The deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL (COM7 TB)</a> is a much bigger surprise.</li>
</ul>



Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA), JMT Network Services (JMT) and Jaymart (JMART) will replace Com7 (COM7), Ratch Group (RATCH) and Sri Trang Gloves (STGT) in the SET50 INDEX.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.1% and will result in a one-way trade of THB 1,914m. There is little funding flow on the other index stocks.
The inclusion of Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB) is a minor surprise. The deletion of Com7 PCL (COM7 TB) is a much bigger surprise.


SET50 Index Rebalance: BLA, JMT, JMART Added; COM7, RATCH, STGT Out

Thailand

JMT Network Services PCL is involved in the debt collection business in Thailand.

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JMT Network Services (JMT TB)

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes - One High Probability; One Has Possibilities

There could be 2 changes in June. +TLI/-JMART is the high probability change. +WHA is medium probability. JMT/TIDLOR could be the second delete....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23: TLI Vs BLA Pair Trade Seems Interesting

For TLI, there could be 68.7mn shares to buy which is around 5.7 days of volume and a flow size of US$25mn. The price ratio of TLI vs peer BLA is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23 Review: TLI ADD & JMART DEL Likely; BJC Is a Question Mark

Currently, Thai Life Insurance and Berli Jucker are ADDs and Jaymart PCL and Ngern Tid Lor are DELs in June 2023. Potential ADD WHA Corp and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for SET Jun 23: DTAC-TRUE Intra-Review Changes

There could be 8.2mn shares to buy in Srisawad which translates to an estimated impact of 0.8 days of volume and a flow size of US$13mn.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance: BLA, JMT, JMART Added; COM7, RATCH, STGT Out

BLA, JMT & JMART replace COM7, RATCH & STGT in the SET50 Idx after the close on 30 June. The inclusion of BLA is a small surprise, while the...

Brian Freitas

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