Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, among others.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-lithium-battery-tech-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32745:1" rel="noopener">Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)</a> and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.</li>
<li>There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schwab-emerging-markets-equi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32879:1" rel="noopener">Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-edge-msci-min-vol-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:725:1" rel="noopener">IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE50, STAR50, ChiNext and SENSEX, among others.
The TOPIX rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US) and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.
There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Emerging Markets (EEM), iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG), Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE) and IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The additions are primarily in line with the predictions. But, the deletions contain many surprises. Webzen is the biggest surprise. Echo Marketing should also surprise a lot of fund trackers.</li>
<li>Creas F&amp;C will face the most substantial passive inflow at 4.08x ADTV, closely followed by Unitest. But factoring in liquidity, WYSIWYG Studios will likely draw the most attention</li>
<li>JNTC will suffer the most among the deletions. However, Webzen will likely be in the limelight as its outflow is by far the largest at ₩8.6B, equivalent to 3.84x ADTV.</li>
</ul>


The additions are primarily in line with the predictions. But, the deletions contain many surprises. Webzen is the biggest surprise. Echo Marketing should also surprise a lot of fund trackers.
Creas F&amp;C will face the most substantial passive inflow at 4.08x ADTV, closely followed by Unitest. But factoring in liquidity, WYSIWYG Studios will likely draw the most attention
JNTC will suffer the most among the deletions. However, Webzen will likely be in the limelight as its outflow is by far the largest at ₩8.6B, equivalent to 3.84x ADTV.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: Passive Flows & Basket Trading Candidates

<ul>
<li>There are 12 inclusions and 12 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>Most of the inclusions were expected, but there are quite a few surprises among the deletions. The impact on the deletions will be higher than that on the inclusions.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been another leg up in the last couple of weeks. Expect the trend to continue till implementation week.</li>
</ul>


There are 12 inclusions and 12 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
Most of the inclusions were expected, but there are quite a few surprises among the deletions. The impact on the deletions will be higher than that on the inclusions.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been another leg up in the last couple of weeks. Expect the trend to continue till implementation week.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes in June

<ul>
<li>Enchem (348370 KS) is in a bit tricky situation. Applying the KRX's review period calculation criterion to Enchem satisfies the minimum listing requirement.</li>
<li>So, we should consider Enchem's addition odds quite high. Enchem's inclusion will pave the way for Sungwoo Hitech (015750 KS) to leave the Index.</li>
<li>We have ten adds/deletes, and WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS) leads the adds for the passive impact, whereas JNTC Co Ltd (204270 KS) will suffer the most relative to ADTV.</li>
</ul>


Enchem (348370 KS) is in a bit tricky situation. Applying the KRX's review period calculation criterion to Enchem satisfies the minimum listing requirement.
So, we should consider Enchem's addition odds quite high. Enchem's inclusion will pave the way for Sungwoo Hitech (015750 KS) to leave the Index.
We have ten adds/deletes, and WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS) leads the adds for the passive impact, whereas JNTC Co Ltd (204270 KS) will suffer the most relative to ADTV.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: Complete List of Candidates, Including Enchem

South Korea

JNTC Co.,Ltd operates electronics production businesses. The Company manufactures and sells mobile connectors, batteries, SIM sockets, and other electronics. JNTC conducts businesses across worldwide.

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JNTC (204270 KS)

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KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: Complete List of Candidates, Including Enchem

This post has a complete list of ten adds and deletes, including Enchem and Sungwoo Hitech, in the upcoming KOSDAQ rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

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