IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$470 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116507" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>Blue-Chip cornerstones will purchase US$300 million of the offer. Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$22.84 per share, 12.8% above the midpoint of the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$470 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case and WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case.
Blue-Chip cornerstones will purchase US$300 million of the offer. Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$22.84 per share, 12.8% above the midpoint of the IPO price range.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116507" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at WuXi XDC's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case and WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at WuXi XDC's potential valuation range.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Joinn reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB575mn, up 15.1% YoY, and attributable net income of RMB237mn, down 9.2% YoY.</li>
<li>3Q23 revenue accounted for 20.7% of our full-year estimate, in-line with its historical average, while attributable net income represented 57.5% of our full-year estimate, substantially higher than the historical average which was primarily due to RMB82mn fair value gain from biological assets in 3Q23 compared with RMB183mn fair value loss in 1H23.</li>
<li>Specifically, Joinn’s laboratory services (core business) recorded a net profit of RMB114mn in 3Q23, slightly down 2.9% YoY, while the net profit of lab services in 9M23 maintained YoY growth of 16.0%.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Joinn reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB575mn, up 15.1% YoY, and attributable net income of RMB237mn, down 9.2% YoY.
3Q23 revenue accounted for 20.7% of our full-year estimate, in-line with its historical average, while attributable net income represented 57.5% of our full-year estimate, substantially higher than the historical average which was primarily due to RMB82mn fair value gain from biological assets in 3Q23 compared with RMB183mn fair value loss in 1H23.
Specifically, Joinn’s laboratory services (core business) recorded a net profit of RMB114mn in 3Q23, slightly down 2.9% YoY, while the net profit of lab services in 9M23 maintained YoY growth of 16.0%.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Joinn Laboratories (6127 HK) – Wait longer for recovery

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>, both looking to raise around US$3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH), both looking to raise around US$3bn.
Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
In WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.


China

JOINN Laboratories is a specialized drug development outsourcing company (CRO) that provides non-clinical pharmacology and toxicology research and evaluation services, including drug safety assessment, pharmacodynamic, and pharmacokinetic studies. The company also offers clinical trial services and the production and sale of experimental models. Headquartered in Beijing, China, it was founded in 1995.

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JOINN Laboratories (6127 HK)

WuXi XDC IPO: Valuation Insights

Blue-chip cornerstones will purchase US$300 million of the offer. Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$22.84 per share, 12.8% above the midpoint of...

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WuXi XDC IPO: Valuation First-Look

WuXi XDC is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500m. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at the potential valuation...

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