IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a> is the second-largest premium teahouse chain in China accounting for 18.9% of China’s premium modern teahouse market as measured by total retail consumption value in 2020, according to CIC.</p><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$17.20-19.80 per share, Nayuki will have a market cap of HK$29,500.2-33,959.5 million ($3.8-4.4 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are HK$4,521.3 million ($582 million). </p></div><div>
<p>Five cornerstone investors will purchase $155 million worth of the offer shares (25.25% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are UBS Asset Management, China Universal Asset Management, GF Fund, China Southern Asset Management and CCB International. </p>
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<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nayuki-holdings-ipo-initiation-a-new-leaf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48532" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings IPO Initiation: A New Leaf</a>, we noted that premium teahouses have rapidly gained popularity in China as they bring new tea-drinking experiences and benefit from the structural trend of consumer’s consumption upgrades driven by higher disposable income. We opined that Nayuki has the right ingredients to offer investors an attractive play on this market. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nayuki-holdings-ipo-drinking-habits" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52873" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings IPO: Drinking Habits</a>, we noted that recent results (disclosed in the PHIP) show that Nayuki is well-positioned as a post-COVID-19 recovery play.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Based on our forecasts, Nayuki is attractively valued to its peer group for its forecasted earnings growth i.e. on a PEG basis. Overall, we are inclined to participate at the low end of the IPO price range due to the decent upside compared to our base-case DCF valuation of HK$19.49 per share.</p></div>
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Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK) is the second-largest premium teahouse chain in China accounting for 18.9% of China’s premium modern teahouse market as measured by total retail consumption value in 2020, according to CIC.At the proposed IPO price range of HK$17.20-19.80 per share, Nayuki will have a market cap of HK$29,500.2-33,959.5 million ($3.8-4.4 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are HK$4,521.3 million ($582 million). 
Five cornerstone investors will purchase $155 million worth of the offer shares (25.25% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are UBS Asset Management, China Universal Asset Management, GF Fund, China Southern Asset Management and CCB International. 

In Nayuki Holdings IPO Initiation: A New Leaf, we noted that premium teahouses have rapidly gained popularity in China as they bring new tea-drinking experiences and benefit from the structural trend of consumer’s consumption upgrades driven by higher disposable income. We opined that Nayuki has the right ingredients to offer investors an attractive play on this market. In Nayuki Holdings IPO: Drinking Habits, we noted that recent results (disclosed in the PHIP) show that Nayuki is well-positioned as a post-COVID-19 recovery play.
Based on our forecasts, Nayuki is attractively valued to its peer group for its forecasted earnings growth i.e. on a PEG basis. Overall, we are inclined to participate at the low end of the IPO price range due to the decent upside compared to our base-case DCF valuation of HK$19.49 per share.




Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div><p>In our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-food-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business</a> we compared the food business with regional and local peers.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we’ll compare its Meat Alterative division with its global rivals.</p></div>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In our previous notes, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business we compared the food business with regional and local peers.In this note, we’ll compare its Meat Alterative division with its global rivals.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div><p>In our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance.</p></div><p>In this note, we’ll compare its BFB division’s performance with other listed regional peers.</p>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In our previous notes, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance.In this note, we’ll compare its BFB division’s performance with other listed regional peers.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div>
<p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p>
<p>In our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, we spoke about the positive aspects of the deal. In this note, we will talk about the not so pleasant aspects. </p>
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Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.
MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. 
In our previous note, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, we spoke about the positive aspects of the deal. In this note, we will talk about the not so pleasant aspects. 


Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA

<p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p><p>It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p><p>In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</p>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share

Philippines

Jollibee Foods Corporation is a Philippine multinational company that develops, operates, and franchises quick-service restaurants globally. It is known for its flagship Jollibee brand, offering American-influenced fast food and casual Filipino fare, including its popular Chickenjoy, Yumburger, and Jolly Spaghetti. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Pasig, Metro Manila, Philippines.

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Jollibee (JFC PM)

Nayuki Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights

We are inclined to participate at the low end of the IPO price range due to the decent upside compared to our base-case DCF valuation of HK$19.49...

Arun George

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will compare its...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note we compare its food...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will talk about...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Nayuki Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights

We are inclined to participate at the low end of the IPO price range due to the decent upside compared to our base-case DCF valuation of HK$19.49...

Arun George

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will compare its...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note we compare its food...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its IPO. MNC has a high market share in the Philippines...

Sumeet Singh