External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.</li><li>CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.</li><li>Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan, Vantage Capital Markets Japan

François-Xavier Pustoc'h

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan

Independent Financial Broker

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

We provide world class financial solutions to our extensive institutional client base including rapidly growing corporations, leading investment banks, commercial banks, asset managers, private equity funds, family offices and hedge funds.

Our services include capital market offerings and placements, wholesale brokerage and execution of cash and derivative products (both listed and OTC) across a range of asset classes.

VCM has offices in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Dubai from where we service our global client base. Our strength lies in the experience and quality of our teams, supported by excellent operations and infrastructure.

Equity Derivatives

<ul><li>1M Implied volatility slightly up 0.49 at 22.35 as the Nikkei 225 index softens.</li><li>High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.</li><li>Nikkei 225 implied volatility rich against realized but trading on its 3M average.</li></ul>

1M Implied volatility slightly up 0.49 at 22.35 as the Nikkei 225 index softens.High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.Nikkei 225 implied volatility rich against realized but trading on its 3M average.

Nikkei Volatility Update (Mar 21st – Mar 28th)

<ul><li>CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.</li><li>Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.</li><li>Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Equity Derivatives

<ul><li>The Nikkei 225/TOPIX ratio is underperforming due to the rally in banks and insurance stocks.</li><li>The TPNBNK/TOPIX ratio has returned to its 2013 level.</li><li>The TSEREIT/TOPIX ratio is now trading at a 15-year low.</li></ul>

The Nikkei 225/TOPIX ratio is underperforming due to the rally in banks and insurance stocks.The TPNBNK/TOPIX ratio has returned to its 2013 level.The TSEREIT/TOPIX ratio is now trading at a 15-year low.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Past performances of NKY and TPX are showing some strength at the end of calendar year and weakness around the summer.</li>
<li>April &amp; May are positive months for Japan Equities in average.</li>
<li>USDJPY showing positive returns from March to June in average.</li>
</ul>


Past performances of NKY and TPX are showing some strength at the end of calendar year and weakness around the summer.
April &amp; May are positive months for Japan Equities in average.
USDJPY showing positive returns from March to June in average.


Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.

Scotiabank

Nikkei Volatility Update (Mar 21st – Mar 28th)

1M Implied volatility slightly up 0.49 at 22.35 as the Nikkei 225 index softens. High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs...

Scotiabank

Japan Equity Indices Vs. TOPIX Ratios

The Nikkei 225/TOPIX ratio is underperforming due to the rally in banks and insurance stocks. The TPNBNK/TOPIX ratio has returned to its 2013 level.

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Japan Equities Seasonality

Past performances of NKY and TPX are showing some strength at the end of calendar year and weakness around the summer. April & May are...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)