Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Expectations for on-hold decision at upcoming FOMC meeting, with continued emphasis on patience from the Fed</li><li>BoE likely to pause cutting cycle with similar forward guidance, while Bank of Japan expected to skip hiking cycle</li><li>Fed focused on potential inflationary impact of tariffs, balancing risks of growth and price increases in uncertain environment.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Expectations for on-hold decision at upcoming FOMC meeting, with continued emphasis on patience from the FedBoE likely to pause cutting cycle with similar forward guidance, while Bank of Japan expected to skip hiking cycleFed focused on potential inflationary impact of tariffs, balancing risks of growth and price increases in uncertain environment.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Week Ahead – Grappling With Uncertainty

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>We assess the effectiveness of short volatility versus long volatility positioning.</li>
<li>Nikkei’s performance relative to SPX is analyzed across three distinct time frames.</li>
<li>Volatility remained muted ahead of next week’s Bank of Japan meeting, while option volumes increased week over week.</li>
</ul>


We assess the effectiveness of short volatility versus long volatility positioning.
Nikkei’s performance relative to SPX is analyzed across three distinct time frames.
Volatility remained muted ahead of next week’s Bank of Japan meeting, while option volumes increased week over week.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 10–14): Assessing Long Vs. Short Vol Strategies & Returns Vs. SPX

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>Happy Monday, and welcome to our editorial on everything macro! This is the place where we challenge the consensus narrative to uncover the best risk/reward trades and views in the world of macro.</li><li>The tariffs, despite all the bizarre flip-flopping, are going live to some extent this month.</li><li>We know that China has been hit with two rounds of 10%-point tariffs, while Mexico and Canada are facing 25% tariffs (with numerous exemptions).</li></ul>

Happy Monday, and welcome to our editorial on everything macro! This is the place where we challenge the consensus narrative to uncover the best risk/reward trades and views in the world of macro.The tariffs, despite all the bizarre flip-flopping, are going live to some extent this month.We know that China has been hit with two rounds of 10%-point tariffs, while Mexico and Canada are facing 25% tariffs (with numerous exemptions).

Steno Signals #188 – The Inflation Cry Wolf or a Big Wave in the Making!?

<ul>
<li>Nikkei breaks lower, USD/JPY and trade tensions weighing on the market.</li>
<li>Implied volatility rose as the market declined. We discuss implications of current spot levels that is dominated by Put open interest.</li>
<li>Historic volatility continues to lag implied vol, we provide visuals on the extent of the lag.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei breaks lower, USD/JPY and trade tensions weighing on the market.
Implied volatility rose as the market declined. We discuss implications of current spot levels that is dominated by Put open interest.
Historic volatility continues to lag implied vol, we provide visuals on the extent of the lag.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 03–07): Implied Volatility Climbs as Market Extends Decline

<ul>
<li>Friday’s bizarre scenes in the Oval Office will take some time to digest for all involved counterparties.</li>
<li>I don’t feel in a position to judge either side, but I will use this analysis to assess the ramifications of the event.</li>
<li>As a disclaimer, remember that I am European!Trump’s argument that the U.S. pays too much to the rest of the world is, in many ways, entirely correct—but also quite banal.</li>
</ul>


Friday’s bizarre scenes in the Oval Office will take some time to digest for all involved counterparties.
I don’t feel in a position to judge either side, but I will use this analysis to assess the ramifications of the event.
As a disclaimer, remember that I am European!Trump’s argument that the U.S. pays too much to the rest of the world is, in many ways, entirely correct—but also quite banal.


Steno Signals #187 – Remember August & September 2024? Tariffs are to blame

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

The Week Ahead – Grappling With Uncertainty

strategy involves monitoring economic data closely and adjusting policy as needed to achieve their dual mandate of stable prices and maximum...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 10–14): Assessing Long Vs. Short Vol Strategies & Returns Vs. SPX

Analysis of short versus long volatility positioning and comparison of Nikkei's performance to SPX across different time frames. Option Volume...

John Ley

Steno Signals #188 – The Inflation Cry Wolf or a Big Wave in the Making!?

Happy Monday, and welcome to our editorial on everything macro! This is the place where we challenge the consensus narrative to uncover the best...

Steno Research

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 03–07): Implied Volatility Climbs as Market Extends Decline

Nikkei falls as USD/JPY and trade tensions weigh on market, with rising implied volatility and lagging historic volatility which we demonstrate...

John Ley

Steno Signals #187 – Remember August & September 2024? Tariffs are to blame

Friday’s bizarre scenes in the Oval Office will take some time to digest for all involved counterparties. I don’t feel in a position to judge...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Week Ahead – Grappling With Uncertainty

strategy involves monitoring economic data closely and adjusting policy as needed to achieve their dual mandate of stable prices and maximum...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 10–14): Assessing Long Vs. Short Vol Strategies & Returns Vs. SPX

​Analysis of short versus long volatility positioning and comparison of Nikkei's performance to SPX across different time frames. Option Volume...

John Ley

Steno Signals #188 – The Inflation Cry Wolf or a Big Wave in the Making!?

Happy Monday, and welcome to our editorial on everything macro! This is the place where we challenge the consensus narrative to uncover the best...

Steno Research

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 03–07): Implied Volatility Climbs as Market Extends Decline

​Nikkei falls as USD/JPY and trade tensions weigh on market, with rising implied volatility and lagging historic volatility which we demonstrate...

John Ley

Steno Signals #187 – Remember August & September 2024? Tariffs are to blame

Friday’s bizarre scenes in the Oval Office will take some time to digest for all involved counterparties. I don’t feel in a position to judge...

Steno Research

Analysis of short versus long volatility positioning and comparison of Nikkei's performance to SPX across different time frames. Option Volume...

Nikkei falls as USD/JPY and trade tensions weigh on market, with rising implied volatility and lagging historic volatility which we demonstrate...