Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Wednesday 19 April 2017</p><p><strong>Euro and Sterling waves or ripples above DXY 99</strong></p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/o3hObg1H" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/o3hObg1H&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1492826840863000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEqXnyjxdVWFuxaMFhRuOEGK2qz8A">https://www.screencast.com/t/o3hObg1H</a> </strong>14:49 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/024/715/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1492740802" data-smartkarma-image-id="24715"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><strong>DXY </strong>– DXY recent update outlined risk of a re-test on the sub 100 zone given the fade back below 100.60 and that is what unfolded. Now comes the key test of DXY 99 amid softening yields. Now, do we hold DXY 99 or break it. Fresh structures in Sterling and the Euro increase odds of breaking DXY 99 which is the line in the…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Wednesday 19 April 2017Euro and Sterling waves or ripples above DXY 99To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/o3hObg1H 14:49 min.FX webcastDXY – DXY recent update outlined risk of a re-test on the sub 100 zone given the fade back below 100.60 and that is what unfolded. Now comes the key test of DXY 99 amid softening yields. Now, do we hold DXY 99 or break it. Fresh structures in Sterling and the Euro increase odds of breaking DXY 99 which is the line in the…

Euro and Sterling Waves or Ripples Above DXY 99

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

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<strong>Chartonics flash </strong>Tuesday 18 April 2017</div><div><strong>Risk components improving</strong></div><p>We want to clarify our base case view.</p><div>Late February touted a March correction and were locking in gains. March 27 started to put back on risk and adding more in mid April for a rally into June.</div><p>Hedges - In the US we shorted the S&amp;P at 2,348 as a hedge and will square this up once we see downside risk eliminated. VIX hedge was squared on the condition of an S&amp;P push above 1,235.</p><div>Asian offsets - We are long H shares and A shares and…</div>


Chartonics flash Tuesday 18 April 2017Risk components improvingWe want to clarify our base case view.Late February touted a March correction and were locking in gains. March 27 started to put back on risk and adding more in mid April for a rally into June.Hedges - In the US we shorted the S&amp;P at 2,348 as a hedge and will square this up once we see downside risk eliminated. VIX hedge was squared on the condition of an S&amp;P push above 1,235.Asian offsets - We are long H shares and A shares and…

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<strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Friday 7 April 2017</div><div><strong>NFP and strikes</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/EiKKtkvoHXa" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/EiKKtkvoHXa</a> </strong>4:31 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/023/840/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1491535910" data-smartkarma-image-id="23840"></figure><div class="content-caption">US equity, gold and JPY webcast</div>
</div><div>Our base case called for an S&amp;P low at 2,320 with risk to just under 2,300 as long as we don't breach 2,280 pivot support on the June contract.</div><p>Odds favor a strong NFP that should provide fuel for US financials to participate and to a lesser extend bleed into financials in Europe and Asia.</p><div>US tomahawk strike is throwing some water on the…</div>


Chartonics webcast Friday 7 April 2017NFP and strikesTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/EiKKtkvoHXa 4:31 min.
US equity, gold and JPY webcast
Our base case called for an S&amp;P low at 2,320 with risk to just under 2,300 as long as we don't breach 2,280 pivot support on the June contract.Odds favor a strong NFP that should provide fuel for US financials to participate and to a lesser extend bleed into financials in Europe and Asia.US tomahawk strike is throwing some water on the…

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<strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Thursday 6 April 2017</div><div><strong>DXY 100.60 inflection</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/P1a202lrmb4" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/P1a202lrmb4&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1491538412295000&amp;usg=AFQjCNE5f9gzfrKC1a21Lx45xEa0qALNhg">https://www.screencast.com/t/P1a202lrmb4</a> </strong>11:16 min.</p><div>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/023/730/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1491452125" data-smartkarma-image-id="23730"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>
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<p><strong>DXY </strong>– DXY recovery off of 99 support is constructive as is upside pressure on 100.60 pivot resistance. Hugging this resistance does increase odds of clearing this hurdle which would be reason to increase USD long positioning. Only a break below DXY 99 would turn the bias bearish for the USD. US yields are at the bottom end of the range which…</p>
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Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 6 April 2017DXY 100.60 inflectionTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/P1a202lrmb4 11:16 min.

FX webcast

DXY – DXY recovery off of 99 support is constructive as is upside pressure on 100.60 pivot resistance. Hugging this resistance does increase odds of clearing this hurdle which would be reason to increase USD long positioning. Only a break below DXY 99 would turn the bias bearish for the USD. US yields are at the bottom end of the range which…


FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

<p><em>It is surprising to see US yields fall and the bond curve at its flattest point since December after the FOMC minutes where the Fed firmed up expectations it would begin its asset run-off later this year, after one or two more rate hikes. The fall in equities in recent weeks and lower bond yields may reflect the Trump administration’s setbacks and falling confidence that it can deliver tax reform. Additionally, there may be some worries over geopolitical risks as gas attacks in Syria and ballistic missile tests in North Korea add pressure on the Trump administration. As yet there is also no smoking gun on inflation in the USA and some mixed economic reports recently.  Lower equities and yields continue to support JPY and gold.  However, the Trump/Xi meeting has the potential to deliver soothing rhetoric for the equity market, and the ADP employment report was again much stronger than expected, raising the odds of a strong payrolls report.  This may lift US yields, and support the USD/JPY from the low end of its current range.  Much may depend on the wages data and indicators of tightness in labor market.</em></p>

It is surprising to see US yields fall and the bond curve at its flattest point since December after the FOMC minutes where the Fed firmed up expectations it would begin its asset run-off later this year, after one or two more rate hikes. The fall in equities in recent weeks and lower bond yields may reflect the Trump administration’s setbacks and falling confidence that it can deliver tax reform. Additionally, there may be some worries over geopolitical risks as gas attacks in Syria and ballistic missile tests in North Korea add pressure on the Trump administration. As yet there is also no smoking gun on inflation in the USA and some mixed economic reports recently.  Lower equities and yields continue to support JPY and gold.  However, the Trump/Xi meeting has the potential to deliver soothing rhetoric for the equity market, and the ADP employment report was again much stronger than expected, raising the odds of a strong payrolls report.  This may lift US yields, and support the USD/JPY from the low end of its current range.  Much may depend on the wages data and indicators of tightness in labor market.

Market yet to React to Approaching Fed Asset Run-Off

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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Euro and Sterling Waves or Ripples Above DXY 99

Chartonics FX webcast Wednesday 19 April 2017Euro and Sterling waves or ripples above DXY 99To view click on this link:...

Thomas Schroeder

Risk Components Improving

Chartonics flash Tuesday 18 April 2017Risk components improvingWe want to clarify our base case view.Late February touted a March correction and...

Thomas Schroeder

NFP Sets the Stage

Chartonics webcast Friday 7 April 2017NFP and strikesTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/EiKKtkvoHXa 4:31 min. Our base case...

Thomas Schroeder

DXY 100.60 Inflection

Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 6 April 2017DXY 100.60 inflectionTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/P1a202lrmb4 11:16...

Thomas Schroeder

Market yet to React to Approaching Fed Asset Run-Off

It is surprising to see US yields fall and the bond curve at its flattest point since December after the FOMC minutes where the Fed firmed up...

Greg Gibbs

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