Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Coronado Global Resources Inc / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global's failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coronado-global-resources-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27473:1" rel="noopener">Coronado (CRN AU)</a></strong>'s shares trading around an all-time low. </li>
<li>Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.</li>
<li>What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.</li>
</ul>


Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global's failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play Coronado (CRN AU)'s shares trading around an all-time low. 
Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.
What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.


Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something's Up (As Is The Share Price)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN)</a>.</li>
<li>He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN).
He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Kalpataru Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalpataru-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43866:1" rel="noopener">Kalpataru Limited (KTARU IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$184m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Kalpataru (KL) is an integrated real estate developer involved in identification and acquisition of land, planning, designing, execution, sales, and marketing of its projects.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past performance and the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Kalpataru Limited (KTARU IN) is looking to raise about US$184m in its upcoming India IPO.
Kalpataru (KL) is an integrated real estate developer involved in identification and acquisition of land, planning, designing, execution, sales, and marketing of its projects.
In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past performance and the IPO valuations.


Kalpataru Ltd IPO - Cemented by Debt Repayment

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>JFE Holdings rebounded from COVID-era losses to deliver peak earnings in FY22, followed by a gradual normalization through FY25, with stable steel volumes but declining margins amid weak domestic demand.</li>
<li>The group is investing ¥970B (~$6.5B) through FY2030 across decarbonization, product upgrades (e.g., electrical steel, galvanizing), and overseas downstream expansion to sustain competitiveness.</li>
<li>Adjusting for its ₹910B (~¥1.7T) JSW stake, ~30% of EV, JFE trades at just 2.7x EV/EBITDA—deeply discounted vs peers like Nippon Steel and POSCO.</li>
</ul>


JFE Holdings rebounded from COVID-era losses to deliver peak earnings in FY22, followed by a gradual normalization through FY25, with stable steel volumes but declining margins amid weak domestic demand.
The group is investing ¥970B (~$6.5B) through FY2030 across decarbonization, product upgrades (e.g., electrical steel, galvanizing), and overseas downstream expansion to sustain competitiveness.
Adjusting for its ₹910B (~¥1.7T) JSW stake, ~30% of EV, JFE trades at just 2.7x EV/EBITDA—deeply discounted vs peers like Nippon Steel and POSCO.


JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Stable Core, Strategic JSW Stake, and Deep-Value Opportunity

Nippon Steel Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nippon paid full price despite governance restrictions; with no credible rival, rejecting the golden share risked collapsing the deal.</li>
<li>Historical golden share precedents imply 10–20% valuation discounts, yet Nippon accepted late-stage constraints without renegotiation.</li>
<li>Funding mix includes bridge loans, hybrids, and asset sales, but proposed equity issuance near 40% below book risks EPS dilution and undermines capital discipline messaging.</li>
</ul>


Nippon paid full price despite governance restrictions; with no credible rival, rejecting the golden share risked collapsing the deal.
Historical golden share precedents imply 10–20% valuation discounts, yet Nippon accepted late-stage constraints without renegotiation.
Funding mix includes bridge loans, hybrids, and asset sales, but proposed equity issuance near 40% below book risks EPS dilution and undermines capital discipline messaging.


Nippon Steel (5401 JP) – No Rival, No Discount, Limited Control

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

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JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a stake of around 2.1% at a floor price of around...

Akshat Shah

Kalpataru Ltd IPO - Cemented by Debt Repayment

Kalpataru Limited (KL) is looking to raise about US$184m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past...

Akshat Shah

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Stable Core, Strategic JSW Stake, and Deep-Value Opportunity

JFE Holdings sees peak earnings in FY22, plans investments in decarbonization and product upgrades to sustain competitiveness, trading at a...

Rahul Jain

Nippon Steel (5401 JP) – No Rival, No Discount, Limited Control

Nippon paid full price for deal despite governance restrictions, risking collapse without credible rival. Funding mix includes bridge loans and...

Rahul Jain

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Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something's Up (As Is The Share Price)

At 0.1x P/B, trading around a lifetime low share price, and talk of a possible sale of assets, even if partial, you're hard pressed to be bearish...

David Blennerhassett

Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a stake of around 2.1% at a floor price of around...

Akshat Shah

Kalpataru Ltd IPO - Cemented by Debt Repayment

Kalpataru Limited (KL) is looking to raise about US$184m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past...

Akshat Shah

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Stable Core, Strategic JSW Stake, and Deep-Value Opportunity

​JFE Holdings sees peak earnings in FY22, plans investments in decarbonization and product upgrades to sustain competitiveness, trading at a...

Rahul Jain

Nippon Steel (5401 JP) – No Rival, No Discount, Limited Control

​Nippon paid full price for deal despite governance restrictions, risking collapse without credible rival. Funding mix includes bridge loans and...

Rahul Jain

JFE Holdings sees peak earnings in FY22, plans investments in decarbonization and product upgrades to sustain competitiveness, trading at a...

Nippon paid full price for deal despite governance restrictions, risking collapse without credible rival. Funding mix includes bridge loans and...