Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Indian steel industry faced a highly disappointing 9MFY26 driven by multi-year low prices, persistent Chinese dumping, and severely delayed post-monsoon infrastructure restocking. </li>
<li>A robust Q4FY26 turnaround is now highly expected, driven by a sharp rebound in domestic realisations and condensed pent-up pre-monsoon project execution demand. </li>
<li>However, this bullish outlook faces significant downside risks post Q4FY26 from sequential coking coal inflation threatening margins and escalating geopolitical tensions disrupting global supply chains.</li>
</ul>


The Indian steel industry faced a highly disappointing 9MFY26 driven by multi-year low prices, persistent Chinese dumping, and severely delayed post-monsoon infrastructure restocking. 
A robust Q4FY26 turnaround is now highly expected, driven by a sharp rebound in domestic realisations and condensed pent-up pre-monsoon project execution demand. 
However, this bullish outlook faces significant downside risks post Q4FY26 from sequential coking coal inflation threatening margins and escalating geopolitical tensions disrupting global supply chains.


India Steel Industry: Should We Expect a Turnaround from Q4FY26?

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>India’s steel demand is pulling ore inward, shrinking exports, while heavy reliance on China leaves external demand increasingly fragile.</li>
<li>India’s iron ore imports are surging on high-grade shortages, exposing JSW Steel to global price risks and rising input cost pressures. </li>
<li>Tata Steel’s record volumes, green steel push, and strategic capex signal stronger growth visibility with improving sustainability-led competitive advantage ahead. </li>
</ul>


India’s steel demand is pulling ore inward, shrinking exports, while heavy reliance on China leaves external demand increasingly fragile.
India’s iron ore imports are surging on high-grade shortages, exposing JSW Steel to global price risks and rising input cost pressures. 
Tata Steel’s record volumes, green steel push, and strategic capex signal stronger growth visibility with improving sustainability-led competitive advantage ahead. 


India’s Steel Surge Is Rewriting the Playbook: Is Tata Steel Poised for the Next Growth Phase?

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

<ul>
<li>Indian USD high-yield bonds in our sample have outperformed on an improving operating environment in India.</li>
<li>Our base case scenario calls for a stabilized rate environment in 2026 which makes fixed rate bonds fully-valued, in our view.</li>
<li>We argue for a reduction in Asian bond exposure, and not a total abandonment.</li>
</ul>


Indian USD high-yield bonds in our sample have outperformed on an improving operating environment in India.
Our base case scenario calls for a stabilized rate environment in 2026 which makes fixed rate bonds fully-valued, in our view.
We argue for a reduction in Asian bond exposure, and not a total abandonment.


<ul>
<li>On 31-Dec-25, the Indian government notified a three year safeguard duty on flat steel imports, starting at 12% in Year 1 to counter predatory pricing from China and Vietnam.</li>
<li>This structural shift addresses a long-standing grievance of domestic mills, effectively creating a 10% price premium over imports and reversing the margin erosion caused by excess global capacity.</li>
<li>With domestic HRC prices expected to climb 10%, the duty provides a significant EBITDA kicker for Indian Steel Companies, signaling a multi-year recovery phase for the sector.</li>
</ul>


On 31-Dec-25, the Indian government notified a three year safeguard duty on flat steel imports, starting at 12% in Year 1 to counter predatory pricing from China and Vietnam.
This structural shift addresses a long-standing grievance of domestic mills, effectively creating a 10% price premium over imports and reversing the margin erosion caused by excess global capacity.
With domestic HRC prices expected to climb 10%, the duty provides a significant EBITDA kicker for Indian Steel Companies, signaling a multi-year recovery phase for the sector.


Indian Steel: Safeguard Duty Unleashed— A 12% Firewall for the Domestic Bull Run

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Domestic Hot-Rolled Coil (HRC) steel prices slumped to five-year lows in October 2025 due to rampant dumping, even as government capex accelerates and post-monsoon demand revives.</li>
<li>The immediate policy response imposing Anti-Dumping Duty (ADD) is critical, providing a necessary margin shield for domestic producers to execute their aggressive Rs. 1 lakh crore+ capacity expansion plans. 
</li>
<li>India positioned as the only major structural demand story globally, the current price weakness offers a tactical entry point into companies focused on high-quality domestic execution and raw material integration. 
</li>
</ul>


Domestic Hot-Rolled Coil (HRC) steel prices slumped to five-year lows in October 2025 due to rampant dumping, even as government capex accelerates and post-monsoon demand revives.
The immediate policy response imposing Anti-Dumping Duty (ADD) is critical, providing a necessary margin shield for domestic producers to execute their aggressive Rs. 1 lakh crore+ capacity expansion plans. 

India positioned as the only major structural demand story globally, the current price weakness offers a tactical entry point into companies focused on high-quality domestic execution and raw material integration. 



From Cyclical Low to Structural Boom: The Policy Shield for India's Steel Giants.

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

India Steel Industry: Should We Expect a Turnaround from Q4FY26?

Indian steel industry had a tough 9MFY26 but is expected to see a turnaround in Q4FY26, though risks remain due to coking coal inflation and...

Nimish Maheshwari

India’s Steel Surge Is Rewriting the Playbook: Is Tata Steel Poised for the Next Growth Phase?

India’s steel boom is locking in iron ore at home, squeezing exports and amplifying China risk, while Tata Steel looks built for this shift.

Mint Finance

Asian Bond Monitor: Take Profits

Indian high-yield bonds outperforming due to improving operating environment, fixed rate bonds seen as fully-valued in stable rate scenario,...

Bondcritic

Indian Steel: Safeguard Duty Unleashed— A 12% Firewall for the Domestic Bull Run

Indian government imposes 3-year safeguard duty on flat steel imports to counter predatory pricing, creating price premium for domestic mills and...

Nimish Maheshwari

From Cyclical Low to Structural Boom: The Policy Shield for India's Steel Giants.

Domestic HRC steel prices hit five-year lows in October 2025 due to dumping, but policy response and demand revival offer growth opportunities for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Steel Industry: Should We Expect a Turnaround from Q4FY26?

​Indian steel industry had a tough 9MFY26 but is expected to see a turnaround in Q4FY26, though risks remain due to coking coal inflation and...

Nimish Maheshwari

India’s Steel Surge Is Rewriting the Playbook: Is Tata Steel Poised for the Next Growth Phase?

India’s steel boom is locking in iron ore at home, squeezing exports and amplifying China risk, while Tata Steel looks built for this shift.

Mint Finance

Asian Bond Monitor: Take Profits

​Indian high-yield bonds outperforming due to improving operating environment, fixed rate bonds seen as fully-valued in stable rate scenario,...

Bondcritic

Indian Steel: Safeguard Duty Unleashed— A 12% Firewall for the Domestic Bull Run

​Indian government imposes 3-year safeguard duty on flat steel imports to counter predatory pricing, creating price premium for domestic mills and...

Nimish Maheshwari

From Cyclical Low to Structural Boom: The Policy Shield for India's Steel Giants.

​Domestic HRC steel prices hit five-year lows in October 2025 due to dumping, but policy response and demand revival offer growth opportunities for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Indian steel industry had a tough 9MFY26 but is expected to see a turnaround in Q4FY26, though risks remain due to coking coal inflation and...

Indian high-yield bonds outperforming due to improving operating environment, fixed rate bonds seen as fully-valued in stable rate scenario,...

Indian government imposes 3-year safeguard duty on flat steel imports to counter predatory pricing, creating price premium for domestic mills and...

Domestic HRC steel prices hit five-year lows in October 2025 due to dumping, but policy response and demand revival offer growth opportunities for...