Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX</li>
<li>Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.</li>
<li>In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months</li>
</ul>


Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Supreme Court ruled that States can levy cesses on mining activities, distinguishing it from Union's authority over royalty.</li>
<li>Retrospective tax collection from 2005 could impose 1.5-2 lakh crore on the mining sector, heavily impacting co. like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The ruling may exacerbate financial pressures on the mining industry, especially in high-tax states like Odisha and Jharkhand.</li>
</ul>


Supreme Court ruled that States can levy cesses on mining activities, distinguishing it from Union's authority over royalty.
Retrospective tax collection from 2005 could impose 1.5-2 lakh crore on the mining sector, heavily impacting co. like Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) and Coal India Ltd (COAL IN).
The ruling may exacerbate financial pressures on the mining industry, especially in high-tax states like Odisha and Jharkhand.


60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>ONGC, Oil India to Price New Gas at 20% Premium over the APM price.</li>
<li>JSW Steel buys a 66.67% stake in M Res NSW for $120 million.</li>
<li>Adani Green Energy aims for a 30% CAGR in renewable capacity.</li>
</ul>


ONGC, Oil India to Price New Gas at 20% Premium over the APM price.
JSW Steel buys a 66.67% stake in M Res NSW for $120 million.
Adani Green Energy aims for a 30% CAGR in renewable capacity.


# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

<ul>
<li>Telcos Bid INR 11,000 Crore in First Day of 5G Spectrum Auction</li>
<li>UltraTech Cement Revises RAKWCT Acquisition from 31.6% to 25% Stake </li>
<li>Bajaj Auto Achieves Over 7 Million Unit Production Capacity in FY24</li>
</ul>


Telcos Bid INR 11,000 Crore in First Day of 5G Spectrum Auction
UltraTech Cement Revises RAKWCT Acquisition from 31.6% to 25% Stake 
Bajaj Auto Achieves Over 7 Million Unit Production Capacity in FY24


#19 India Insight: Telcos Bid for 5G Spectrum, UltraTech Acquisition, Bajaj Auto Expands Capacity

<ul>
<li>JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore</li>
<li>Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials</li>
<li>FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates</li>
</ul>


JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore
Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials
FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates


#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

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JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

Nimish Maheshwari

# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#19 India Insight: Telcos Bid for 5G Spectrum, UltraTech Acquisition, Bajaj Auto Expands Capacity

Telcos bid INR 11,000 crore for 5G spectrum, UltraTech Cement reduces stake in RAKWCT, Bajaj Auto reaches over 7 million unit production capacity...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

​Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

Nimish Maheshwari

# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

​ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#19 India Insight: Telcos Bid for 5G Spectrum, UltraTech Acquisition, Bajaj Auto Expands Capacity

​Telcos bid INR 11,000 crore for 5G spectrum, UltraTech Cement reduces stake in RAKWCT, Bajaj Auto reaches over 7 million unit production capacity...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

​India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...

Telcos bid INR 11,000 crore for 5G spectrum, UltraTech Cement reduces stake in RAKWCT, Bajaj Auto reaches over 7 million unit production capacity...

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...