Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MTD screening results with 5 trading days left point to 2 names going out and 2 names coming in: Gemvax and Wonik IPS replace Dongjin Semichem and Jusung Engineering.</li>
<li>Unlike last April’s tariff-distorted +1.3% rebalance, this time we expect cleaner, more meaningful price action.</li>
<li>No pre-positioning seen, so I’ll target ETF rebalance day (Oct 10) and maybe take an anticipatory position a day earlier.</li>
</ul>


MTD screening results with 5 trading days left point to 2 names going out and 2 names coming in: Gemvax and Wonik IPS replace Dongjin Semichem and Jusung Engineering.
Unlike last April’s tariff-distorted +1.3% rebalance, this time we expect cleaner, more meaningful price action.
No pre-positioning seen, so I’ll target ETF rebalance day (Oct 10) and maybe take an anticipatory position a day earlier.


Korea Semicon ETF Rebal October Play: 2 In, 2 Out Long-Short Setup

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the October rebalance starting in two weeks, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 1.5-4.7x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.</li>
<li>On average, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse some of the changes from the April rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the October rebalance starting in two weeks, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 1.5-4.7x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.
On average, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse some of the changes from the April rebalance.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hybe, Hanwha Ind Sol, Lig Nex1.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hybe, Hanwha Ind Sol, Lig Nex1.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): SK Hynix, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hybe, Hanwha Ind Sol

<ul>
<li>After the March avg daily market cap screen, Wonik IPS is swapped for Jusung Engineering. Big passive impact expected—Jusung gets 1x ADTV buy flow, Wonik faces 2.6x ADTV sell.</li>
<li>Watch for passive flow timing—last rebalance (Oct 11), ISC Co Ltd got kicked, Wonik IPS called up. TIGER split Wonik’s rebalance over two trading days to minimize price impact.</li>
<li>The long/short yield was 2.89% on Oct 11, 3.96% over two days. With bigger passive flow impact, TIGER may split the rebalance—enter near Thursday close, exit by Monday afternoon.</li>
</ul>


After the March avg daily market cap screen, Wonik IPS is swapped for Jusung Engineering. Big passive impact expected—Jusung gets 1x ADTV buy flow, Wonik faces 2.6x ADTV sell.
Watch for passive flow timing—last rebalance (Oct 11), ISC Co Ltd got kicked, Wonik IPS called up. TIGER split Wonik’s rebalance over two trading days to minimize price impact.
The long/short yield was 2.89% on Oct 11, 3.96% over two days. With bigger passive flow impact, TIGER may split the rebalance—enter near Thursday close, exit by Monday afternoon.


Watch This Friday's TIGER Top 10 Semicon Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the April rebalance now complete, we forecast just 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 0.8-2.2x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.</li>
<li>The resumption of short selling makes it easier to position for these events. That could also result in the shorts moving a lot ahead of implementation.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the April rebalance now complete, we forecast just 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 0.8-2.2x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.
The resumption of short selling makes it easier to position for these events. That could also result in the shorts moving a lot ahead of implementation.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Just One Change Likely

South Korea

Jusung Engineering Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor, flat panel display, and solar cell production equipment.  The Company produces space divided CVD-ALD thin film machines for semiconductor manufacture; equipment for producing liquid crystal display panels; and equipment for manufacturing crystalline silicon and thin film silicon tandem solar cells.

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Jusung Engineering (036930 KS)

Korea Semicon ETF Rebal October Play: 2 In, 2 Out Long-Short Setup

This post walks through Korea’s October semicon ETF rebalance play, highlighting a 2 In, 2 Out rotation that sets up a compelling long-short trade.

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

There could be 2 changes in Oct. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): SK Hynix, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hybe, Hanwha Ind Sol

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hybe,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Watch This Friday's TIGER Top 10 Semicon Rebalance

We should keep an eye on this Friday's local passive flow event: the TIGER Top 10 Semicon rebalance, which will bring some serious buy/sell action.

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Just One Change Likely

Jusung Engineering could replace Wonik IPS in the index next week. Passives need to trade between 0.8-2.2x ADV in the stocks. The resumption of...

Brian Freitas

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