Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kissei-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18303:1" rel="noopener">Kissei Pharmaceutical (4547 JP)</a> reported 16.9% YoY jump in revenue during FY25 driven by Beova and Tavneos despite price revision pressures and generic competition.</li>
<li>The company has issued FY26 guidance of revenue rising 3.6%, with pharmaceuticals segment remaining flat dragged by lower overseas licensing fees.</li>
<li>The only trigger point at this moment happens to be the recent licensing deals signed by the company with various players gives it an opportunity to expand offerings and market.</li>
</ul>



Kissei Pharmaceutical (4547 JP) reported 16.9% YoY jump in revenue during FY25 driven by Beova and Tavneos despite price revision pressures and generic competition.
The company has issued FY26 guidance of revenue rising 3.6%, with pharmaceuticals segment remaining flat dragged by lower overseas licensing fees.
The only trigger point at this moment happens to be the recent licensing deals signed by the company with various players gives it an opportunity to expand offerings and market.


Kissei Pharmaceutical (4547 JP): Steady FY25, Licensing Fees To Drag FY26, Margins To Stay Strong

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Bukwang Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS) announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. Its share price fell by 13.3% today. </li>
<li>The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of outstanding shares). Expected rights offering price is 3,310 won (15.1% lower than current price). </li>
<li>We are negative on Bukwang Pharm mainly due to excessive shareholding dilution from this rights offering as well as lack of valuation merits. </li>
</ul>


On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS) announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. Its share price fell by 13.3% today. 
The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of outstanding shares). Expected rights offering price is 3,310 won (15.1% lower than current price). 
We are negative on Bukwang Pharm mainly due to excessive shareholding dilution from this rights offering as well as lack of valuation merits. 


Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

Orum Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. </li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. </li>
<li>FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. </li>
</ul>


Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. 
Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. 
FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. 


South Korea

JW Pharmaceutical Corp manufactures prescription and over-the counter drugs. The Company produces transfusion fluids, antibiotics, anesthetics, and respiratory and circulatory medications.

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Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

There could be 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are 2...

Brian Freitas

Kissei Pharmaceutical (4547 JP): Steady FY25, Licensing Fees To Drag FY26, Margins To Stay Strong

Kissei Pharmaceutical reported better-than-expected FY25 result, driven by key drugs. The company issues FY26 guidance of revenue rising 3.6%,...

Tina Banerjee

Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of...

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

There could be 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are 2...

Brian Freitas

Kissei Pharmaceutical (4547 JP): Steady FY25, Licensing Fees To Drag FY26, Margins To Stay Strong

​Kissei Pharmaceutical reported better-than-expected FY25 result, driven by key drugs. The company issues FY26 guidance of revenue rising 3.6%,...

Tina Banerjee

Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of...

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share.

Douglas Kim

Kissei Pharmaceutical reported better-than-expected FY25 result, driven by key drugs. The company issues FY26 guidance of revenue rising 3.6%,...