HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After the centralized procurement in Hebei Province included OK lens, products with high gross margin and low market penetration rate seem to be the new trend of centralized procurement.</li>
<li>Although the current valuation of healthcare industry is relatively low compared with historical levels, that comparison is of little significance due to the fast pace of change.</li>
<li>In terms of when domestic biotech companies could achieve break-even, there is some logic actually. Investors can estimate the time for biotechs to achieve profitability.</li>
</ul>


After the centralized procurement in Hebei Province included OK lens, products with high gross margin and low market penetration rate seem to be the new trend of centralized procurement.
Although the current valuation of healthcare industry is relatively low compared with historical levels, that comparison is of little significance due to the fast pace of change.
In terms of when domestic biotech companies could achieve break-even, there is some logic actually. Investors can estimate the time for biotechs to achieve profitability.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct28)-OK Lens VBP, Time Required for Biotech to Make Profit, World Changes

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

Industry viewpoints:
<ul>
<li>The State Council has released a landmark document to define its medical insurance plan for the next four years.</li>
<li>It can be seen that the NHSA has clarified the direction and the coverage of "basic" medical insurance on some high-value consumables such as dental implants.</li>
<li>Related policies are released to support domestic medical devices and consumables. </li>
</ul>
Company news:
News about the updated progress on new drugs and cooperation agreement of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-therapeutics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29679:1" rel="noopener">JW Therapeutics (2126 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>.
Market review: 
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.05%, while CSI 300 increased 0.27% over the same period of time. 
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:

The State Council has released a landmark document to define its medical insurance plan for the next four years.
It can be seen that the NHSA has clarified the direction and the coverage of "basic" medical insurance on some high-value consumables such as dental implants.
Related policies are released to support domestic medical devices and consumables. 

Company news:
News about the updated progress on new drugs and cooperation agreement of Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), JW Therapeutics (2126 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK).
Market review: 
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.05%, while CSI 300 increased 0.27% over the same period of time. 
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.1) - A Landmark Document Released, Dental Implants, Core Data Security

China

JW (Cayman) Therapeutics Co. Ltd operates as a clinical stage therapy platform company. The Company offers developing, manufacturing and commercializing breakthrough cell-based immunotherapies forhematological cancers and solid tumors. JW (Cayman) Therapeutics provides services in China.

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JW Therapeutics (2126 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct28)-OK Lens VBP, Time Required for Biotech to Make Profit, World Changes

OK lens VBP means the goal of VBP is changed to ensure people's livelihood; It’s of little significance to compare with history since the world...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance. 19 stocks will be added to Stock Connect and 12 will be removed. Some of...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.1) - A Landmark Document Released, Dental Implants, Core Data Security

The insight analyzed a landmark document about medical insurance plan for the next four years,the direction and the coverage of basic medical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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