Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

Pan Pacific International Holdings / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 is turning out to be a little more interesting than one might have expected a few months ago. </li>
<li>As of the end of August, the 3mo ADTV for Kioxia (285A) was ¥18bn despite expectations it would go into M _ _ _. The 1mo average today? ¥383bn.</li>
<li>That means it has rapidly climbed into the top echelons of 5yr trading history. Importantly, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> are not far behind.</li>
</ul>


The March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 is turning out to be a little more interesting than one might have expected a few months ago. 
As of the end of August, the 3mo ADTV for Kioxia (285A) was ¥18bn despite expectations it would go into M _ _ _. The 1mo average today? ¥383bn.
That means it has rapidly climbed into the top echelons of 5yr trading history. Importantly, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) and Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) are not far behind.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 - Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.</li>
<li>Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.</li>
<li>Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.
Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.
Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.


The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese SPE laggards set to rebound with the NKY semi index -13% MTD.</li>
<li>Jensen Huang sees physical AI as the next big leg of growth.</li>
<li>Japan set to help fund 10 new nuclear plants in the US as the Govt scrambles for elec capacity.</li>
</ul>


Japanese SPE laggards set to rebound with the NKY semi index -13% MTD.
Jensen Huang sees physical AI as the next big leg of growth.
Japan set to help fund 10 new nuclear plants in the US as the Govt scrambles for elec capacity.


Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Beats and Rises as Much as +6% After Hours Pulling Markets Higher

<ul>
<li>Tension between China and Japan look set to rise further with talks failing to ease frictions.</li>
<li>Travel names remain vulnerable despite Govt. run tour groups having less clout than they used to.</li>
<li>Medtech may do better on defensive bid and Medtronic, but Sysmex continues to slide.</li>
</ul>


Tension between China and Japan look set to rise further with talks failing to ease frictions.
Travel names remain vulnerable despite Govt. run tour groups having less clout than they used to.
Medtech may do better on defensive bid and Medtronic, but Sysmex continues to slide.


Japan Morning Connection: More AI and Tech Pain Ahead of NVDA Tomorrow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 17 December.</li>
<li>At the indicated IPO price of ¥1,440/share, the IPO will raise up to ¥367.6bn (US$2.38bn) and value <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> up to ¥1,290bn (US$8.34bn).</li>
<li>The stock should be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX INDEX</a> at the close on 29 January while inclusion in global indices should take place in May and June.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 17 December.
At the indicated IPO price of ¥1,440/share, the IPO will raise up to ¥367.6bn (US$2.38bn) and value SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) up to ¥1,290bn (US$8.34bn).
The stock should be added to the TOPIX INDEX at the close on 29 January while inclusion in global indices should take place in May and June.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: TPX Add in Jan; Global Index: One in May; One in June

Japan

JX Advanced Metals Corporation mines and distributes non ferrous metal products. The Company smelts, refines, and markets non ferrous metals such as copper, gold, silver, and more. JX Advanced Metals also sells semiconductor materials, special steel materials, and other products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 - Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind

The Nikkei 225 Mar-26 rebalance is shaping up to be something different than one might have predicted just a month ago. High volume has trumped the...

Travis Lundy

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Beats and Rises as Much as +6% After Hours Pulling Markets Higher

US using Japanese funding to build new nuclear reactors will be a positive for JSW and Hitachi. NVDA management push back on the concept of an AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: More AI and Tech Pain Ahead of NVDA Tomorrow

Some big moves down for SPE and AI related. Diplomatic tensions continue between Japan and China. JP Medtech names may get a lift from Medtronic's...

Andrew Jackson

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: TPX Add in Jan; Global Index: One in May; One in June

The SBI Shinsei Bank IPO could raise up to US$2.38bn, valuing the company at US$8.34bn. Topix inclusion in Jan, MGlobal possibly in May. FGlobal...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 - Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind

The Nikkei 225 Mar-26 rebalance is shaping up to be something different than one might have predicted just a month ago. High volume has trumped the...

Travis Lundy

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

​Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Beats and Rises as Much as +6% After Hours Pulling Markets Higher

US using Japanese funding to build new nuclear reactors will be a positive for JSW and Hitachi. NVDA management push back on the concept of an AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: More AI and Tech Pain Ahead of NVDA Tomorrow

Some big moves down for SPE and AI related. Diplomatic tensions continue between Japan and China. JP Medtech names may get a lift from Medtronic's...

Andrew Jackson

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: TPX Add in Jan; Global Index: One in May; One in June

The SBI Shinsei Bank IPO could raise up to US$2.38bn, valuing the company at US$8.34bn. Topix inclusion in Jan, MGlobal possibly in May. FGlobal...

Brian Freitas

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...