Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We hosted a Real Estate Foresight Webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy easing wave</li>
<li>Can we see the impact of the policy easing? How much of further stimulus to expect? What will be the 'next normal' for new home sales after the downturn?</li>
<li>A quick poll of the participants (experienced professionals in China property) showed a 100% consensus that more easing will be needed to trigger a rebound in new home sales</li>
</ul>


We hosted a Real Estate Foresight Webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy easing wave
Can we see the impact of the policy easing? How much of further stimulus to expect? What will be the 'next normal' for new home sales after the downturn?
A quick poll of the participants (experienced professionals in China property) showed a 100% consensus that more easing will be needed to trigger a rebound in new home sales


China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The weekly data for new home sales for 18 cities with consistent data to the week ending September 10 does not show pickup signs, despite some media buzz after easing</li>
<li>But we expect the impact to start showing in the next weeks</li>
<li>In the meantime, using weekly metrics as predictors of the direction of the national monthly figures, suggests no real improvement YTD y/y so far for Sep</li>
</ul>


The weekly data for new home sales for 18 cities with consistent data to the week ending September 10 does not show pickup signs, despite some media buzz after easing
But we expect the impact to start showing in the next weeks
In the meantime, using weekly metrics as predictors of the direction of the national monthly figures, suggests no real improvement YTD y/y so far for Sep


China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 8-14 September 2023

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

China

Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd. is a large-scale integrated investment group primarily engaged in property development, investment, and management, alongside hotel and catering, cultural center, and healthcare operations. Its portfolio includes residential properties, villas, offices, serviced apartments, and urban complexes. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kaisa Group (1638 HK)

China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Real Estate Foresight hosted a webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy-easing wave. Watch the...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

China Housing: The weekly new home sales data for 18 cities to the week ending Sep 10 does not show signs of improvement (yet) after the policy...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 8-14 September 2023

A weekly summary of the curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress. Key points in summaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Real Estate Foresight hosted a webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy-easing wave. Watch the...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

China Housing: The weekly new home sales data for 18 cities to the week ending Sep 10 does not show signs of improvement (yet) after the policy...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 8-14 September 2023

A weekly summary of the curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress. Key points in summaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

​A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.

Robert Ciemniak

A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.