Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. While we want to acknowledge that the potential for a US-China tariff escalation remains a risk for the market, we believe this is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. In our December International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our positive outlook, including actionable trade ideas in technology, health care and manufacturing.

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. While we want to acknowledge that the potential for a US-China tariff escalation remains a risk for the market, we believe this is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. In our December International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our positive outlook, including actionable trade ideas in technology, health care and manufacturing.

Global Equities Headed Up and to the Right: Technology, Health Care Leading

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report.

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report. 

Overweight Global Technology & Industrials

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

It is not just a Japan issue, a lot of US companies also hoard cash. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/666" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> for instance has $67bn sitting on the balance sheet. I do not mind if companies have a lot of cash, that means they must be doing something right. However if a company just sits on the cash and does nothing then it is just a waste. When more than half of the company's assets are in cash and that has been the case for more than 10 years, they do not have a profitable use for it. The cash is just sitting…

It is not just a Japan issue, a lot of US companies also hoard cash. Apple Inc (AAPL US) for instance has $67bn sitting on the balance sheet. I do not mind if companies have a lot of cash, that means they must be doing something right. However if a company just sits on the cash and does nothing then it is just a waste. When more than half of the company's assets are in cash and that has been the case for more than 10 years, they do not have a profitable use for it. The cash is just sitting…

Companies that Are Chronic Cash Hoarders....

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to the Nikkei report, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scsk-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19996:1" rel="noopener">Scsk Corp (9719 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5380:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP)</a> at JPY5,700, a 31.5% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>An attractive offer facilitates deal completion. The tender runs from 30 October to 12 December, with payment commencing from 19 December.</li>
</ul>


In response to the Nikkei report, Scsk Corp (9719 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP) at JPY5,700, a 31.5% premium to the last close.
The offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and represents an all-time high. 
An attractive offer facilitates deal completion. The tender runs from 30 October to 12 December, with payment commencing from 19 December.


SCSK Corp (9719 JP): Sumitomo (8053 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY5,700

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. </li>
<li>The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  </li>
</ul>



NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.
The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. 
The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  


NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

Japan

KANEMATSU ELECTRONICS LTD. imports, exports, and wholesales printers and other computer related peripherals as a subsidiary of Kanematsu Corporation. The Company provides network-related equipment and industrial machinery.  Kanematsu Electronics operates maintenance of those products as well.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kanematsu Electronics (8096 JP)

Global Equities Headed Up and to the Right: Technology, Health Care Leading

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip...

Vermilion Research

Overweight Global Technology & Industrials

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the...

Vermilion Research

Companies that Are Chronic Cash Hoarders....

It is not just a Japan issue, a lot of US companies also hoard cash. Apple Inc (AAPL US) for instance has $67bn sitting on the balance sheet. I do...

Custom Products Group

SCSK Corp (9719 JP): Sumitomo (8053 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY5,700

The offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and represents an all-time high....

Arun George

NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

While below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation, the offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)