Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,503m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Marui, Sanrio, Disco, Kawasaki Heavy Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,503m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Marui, Sanrio, Disco, Kawasaki Heavy Industries.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 25th): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a> announced a share exchange offer by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> at 0.65 Aeon shares per Aeon Mall share, a 30.9% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The share exchange ratio is reasonable compared to historical price ratios and IFA valuation ranges. The implied offer multiple is attractive compared to peer multiples.</li>
<li>Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding ensures that Aeon Mall's vote on 22 May is low-risk. The share exchange's effective date is 1 July.</li>
</ul>



AEON Mall (8905 JP) announced a share exchange offer by Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) at 0.65 Aeon shares per Aeon Mall share, a 30.9% premium to the undisturbed price.
The share exchange ratio is reasonable compared to historical price ratios and IFA valuation ranges. The implied offer multiple is attractive compared to peer multiples.
Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding ensures that Aeon Mall's vote on 22 May is low-risk. The share exchange's effective date is 1 July.


Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Share Exchange Ratio Is Set

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix (TPX INDEX)</a> at the close on 28 July.</li>
<li>There are a lot of FFW changes, mainly reductions. This leads to large funding inflows on the large index stocks.</li>
<li>We estimate the inclusion of Mercari and the FFW changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a one-way trade of JPY 442.23bn (US$3.25bn).</li>
</ul>



Mercari Inc (4385 JP) will be added to the Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix (TPX INDEX) at the close on 28 July.
There are a lot of FFW changes, mainly reductions. This leads to large funding inflows on the large index stocks.
We estimate the inclusion of Mercari and the FFW changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a one-way trade of JPY 442.23bn (US$3.25bn).


TOPIX July Rebalance: Mercari Inclusion, FFW Changes, US$6.5bn To Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> backs Blackstone's revised Offer of A$13.10/share in cash, from A$12.50 previously, and up from A$11.85/share initially.  </li>
<li>The endgame approaches for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> Unification trade. S&amp;P announced the S&amp;P/ASX upweight would be one-shot, as expected. Regulatory approvals are in. SARB has set BHP SJ as "domestic."</li>
<li>The Offeror slashes the Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job (JOBS US)</a> by 27.6%, however, it's not clear how the new deal terms sidestep the regulator nor justify a reduction. </li>
</ul>



Crown Resorts (CWN AU) backs Blackstone's revised Offer of A$13.10/share in cash, from A$12.50 previously, and up from A$11.85/share initially.  
The endgame approaches for the BHP (BHP AU) Unification trade. S&amp;P announced the S&amp;P/ASX upweight would be one-shot, as expected. Regulatory approvals are in. SARB has set BHP SJ as "domestic."
The Offeror slashes the Offer price for 51 Job (JOBS US) by 27.6%, however, it's not clear how the new deal terms sidestep the regulator nor justify a reduction. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP Group, Crown Resorts, 51job, Hitachi, Razer Inc

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The Katakura (3001 JP) MBO has failed. Nearly 60% tendered but I expect 85-90% of that 60% came from corporate and financial crossholders. </li>
<li>A new activist is in at ¥2,350/share, and that activist wants a higher price. </li>
<li>It is not clear there is a lot of downside here, but it is not clear what drives it up near-term either.</li>
</ul>


The Katakura (3001 JP) MBO has failed. Nearly 60% tendered but I expect 85-90% of that 60% came from corporate and financial crossholders. 
A new activist is in at ¥2,350/share, and that activist wants a higher price. 
It is not clear there is a lot of downside here, but it is not clear what drives it up near-term either.


Japan

Katakura Industries Co., Ltd. operates in a range of business segments. The Company manfucatures and sells clothing and textile products, pharmaceutical products, automobile parts, fire pump cars and agricultural machinery. Katakura also operates shopping and home centers, the leasing of real estate and the provision of building management services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Katakura Industries (3001 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 25th): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Fast Retailing (9983 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TOPIX July Rebalance: Mercari Inclusion, FFW Changes, US$6.5bn To Trade

Mercari will be added to the TPX at the close on 28 July. There are a lot of FFW changes that will result in one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP Group, Crown Resorts, 51job, Hitachi, Razer Inc

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Katakura (3001 JP) MBO/Tender Fails

The Katakura (3001 JP) tender offer has failed. They got a LOT of shares, just not enough. And very little of the non-cross-holder portion of the...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 25th): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Fast Retailing (9983 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Share Exchange Ratio Is Set

The share exchange ratio is reasonable compared to historical price ratios and IFA valuation ranges. Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding ensures that Aeon...

Arun George

TOPIX July Rebalance: Mercari Inclusion, FFW Changes, US$6.5bn To Trade

Mercari will be added to the TPX at the close on 28 July. There are a lot of FFW changes that will result in one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP Group, Crown Resorts, 51job, Hitachi, Razer Inc

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Katakura (3001 JP) MBO/Tender Fails

The Katakura (3001 JP) tender offer has failed. They got a LOT of shares, just not enough. And very little of the non-cross-holder portion of the...

Travis Lundy