Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.</li>
<li>Lee Jae-Myung has pledged providing a "basic loan" of 10 million won per citizen which is likely to negatively impact the Korean banks since it lacks rigorous credit checks. </li>
<li>There is an increasing likelihood that Lee Jae-Myung could raise the pressure on local banks to share the responsibility of social policies by contributing more money to support them.</li>
</ul>


Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.
Lee Jae-Myung has pledged providing a "basic loan" of 10 million won per citizen which is likely to negatively impact the Korean banks since it lacks rigorous credit checks. 
There is an increasing likelihood that Lee Jae-Myung could raise the pressure on local banks to share the responsibility of social policies by contributing more money to support them.


Lee Jae-Myung's Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 4th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Rotem, Kiwoom, Doosan Enerbility, Cosmax.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 4th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Rotem, Kiwoom, Doosan Enerbility, Cosmax.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Rotem, Kiwoom, Doosan Enerbility, Cosmax

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: The Bank of Korea will announce its rate decision on July 10, 2025. This Insight compares market and option-implied expectations with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> reactions.</li>
<li>
Highlights: While average market reactions to BoK moves are historically muted, options are pricing in elevated volatility. Two event-driven strategies are discussed.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight offers actionable, volatility-focused options strategies grounded in empirical data and current pricing—timely for traders seeking to monetize elevated volatility ahead of central bank and geopolitical events.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank of Korea will announce its rate decision on July 10, 2025. This Insight compares market and option-implied expectations with historical KOSPI 200 reactions.

Highlights: While average market reactions to BoK moves are historically muted, options are pricing in elevated volatility. Two event-driven strategies are discussed.

Why Read: This Insight offers actionable, volatility-focused options strategies grounded in empirical data and current pricing—timely for traders seeking to monetize elevated volatility ahead of central bank and geopolitical events.


KOSPI 200: Event-Driven Strategies into the July 10 BoK Decision

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.</li>
<li>In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.</li>
<li>If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. </li>
</ul>


On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.
In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.
If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. 


A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. </li>
<li>Some alpha generating performances continue in terms of adding stocks to be included in the KOSPI 200 and reducing stocks that could be excluded.</li>
<li>Korea Value Up Index has been heavily promoted by the Korean Exchange this year. Korea Exchange plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. 
Some alpha generating performances continue in terms of adding stocks to be included in the KOSPI 200 and reducing stocks that could be excluded.
Korea Value Up Index has been heavily promoted by the Korean Exchange this year. Korea Exchange plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December. 


A Review of Major Equity Indices in Korea in 2024

South Korea

KB Financial Group Inc. (the "Company"), in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on September 29, 2008, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries including Kookmin Bank in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies. The headquarters are located at Seoul, Korea

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KB Financial (105560 KS)

Lee Jae-Myung's Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks

Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Rotem, Kiwoom, Doosan Enerbility, Cosmax

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Rotem, Kiwoom, Doosan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI 200: Event-Driven Strategies into the July 10 BoK Decision

Ahead of the Bank of Korea’s July 10 rate decision, option pricing implies larger-than-usual index moves. This Insight outlines two event-driven...

Gaudenz Schneider

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

KRX announced announced that a special rebalancing of 5 stocks to be included in the ‘Korea Value Up Index’ - KB Financial, Hana Financial, Hyundai...

Douglas Kim

A Review of Major Equity Indices in Korea in 2024

We review the major equity indices in Korea in 2024 including KOSPI 200 and Korea Value Up Index. KRX plans to make special changes to the Korea...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

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P/E

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