Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>KE Holdings (BEKE) reported C1Q24 revenue/non-GAAP NI in-line/35% above consensus and guided a modest revenue growth of 10% YoY in C2Q24</li>
<li>We maintain our view that C1Q24 would be the trough as subsequent improvement, albeit at slower magnitude, should happen from C2Q24</li>
<li>We maintain the stock as BUY rating but lower TP to US$21 to reflect a postponed recovery schedule.</li>
</ul>


KE Holdings (BEKE) reported C1Q24 revenue/non-GAAP NI in-line/35% above consensus and guided a modest revenue growth of 10% YoY in C2Q24
We maintain our view that C1Q24 would be the trough as subsequent improvement, albeit at slower magnitude, should happen from C2Q24
We maintain the stock as BUY rating but lower TP to US$21 to reflect a postponed recovery schedule.


[KE Holdings (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$21) TP Change]: New Stimulus Might Be Needed to Spur the Market

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US: EV sales in the 20th week of 2024 NIO, Xiaomi and LI performed well(/////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Shanghai implements central government policies to further stimulate property market demand from nine aspects.(+)</li>
<li>981 HK/1347 HK/1810 HK/ACMR/China semiconductor: China launches Big Fund III to support semiconductor development (+)</li>
</ul>


NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US: EV sales in the 20th week of 2024 NIO, Xiaomi and LI performed well(/////)
BEKE US: Shanghai implements central government policies to further stimulate property market demand from nine aspects.(+)
981 HK/1347 HK/1810 HK/ACMR/China semiconductor: China launches Big Fund III to support semiconductor development (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US/BEKE US/981 HK/1347 HK/ACMR/9926 HK

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）</li>
<li>300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）
300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)
BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Today, multiple cities in China introduced property stimulus measures to encourage buying new over existing homes. These policies also discourages people from selling their homes.</li>
<li>Past measures encouraged home purchases by lowering mortgage rates and down payments, resulting in an increase in existing home transactions, because new home has developer default risks.</li>
<li>This time, we saw for the first time, local Chinese governments introduced supplemental policies to guide new home purchases. We believe more of such measures can be on its way.</li>
</ul>


Today, multiple cities in China introduced property stimulus measures to encourage buying new over existing homes. These policies also discourages people from selling their homes.
Past measures encouraged home purchases by lowering mortgage rates and down payments, resulting in an increase in existing home transactions, because new home has developer default risks.
This time, we saw for the first time, local Chinese governments introduced supplemental policies to guide new home purchases. We believe more of such measures can be on its way.


Beike (BEKE US): New Government Measures Aimed at Promoting New Home Sales Warrants Attention

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

KE Holdings (BEKE US)