External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The latest high frequency data continues to cheer up the market especially the new home sales which booked +9%/+35% WoW/MTD YoY growth and the YTD decline narrowed to -4% YoY.</li><li>Secondary home sales remained strong at 83% YoY for MTD in Mar.</li><li>Together with another RRR cut as we expected (report) and BEKE’s strong guidance (report), market confidence on sales sustainability was further strengthened.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The latest high frequency data continues to cheer up the market especially the new home sales which booked +9%/+35% WoW/MTD YoY growth and the YTD decline narrowed to -4% YoY.Secondary home sales remained strong at 83% YoY for MTD in Mar.Together with another RRR cut as we expected (report) and BEKE’s strong guidance (report), market confidence on sales sustainability was further strengthened.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales continued to cheer up the market

<ul><li>We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of private investment.</li><li>Also, despite limited scope, it may leave some space for hot money into new residential projects and M&amp;A deals especially when the sales are recovering now and trust loans are back.</li><li>This is in line with our previous report that the policy will remain supportive.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of private investment.Also, despite limited scope, it may leave some space for hot money into new residential projects and M&amp;A deals especially when the sales are recovering now and trust loans are back.This is in line with our previous report that the policy will remain supportive.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Mildly positive for CSRC’s pilot private investment scheme in real estate

<ul>
<li>Property+ sector saw a decent correction on articles from Economic daily and Qiushi that reiterated property price increase and financial system risk.</li>
<li>It has sparked the market fear of policy direction change right in the middle of improving sales data and momentum.</li>
<li>We agree that the better the data, the less policy support needed, but property policy will continue to stay supportive in the coming months as 1) the new home sales remained fragile and still declined 23% YoY YTD despite the recent improvement.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Property+ sector saw a decent correction on articles from Economic daily and Qiushi that reiterated property price increase and financial system risk.
It has sparked the market fear of policy direction change right in the middle of improving sales data and momentum.
We agree that the better the data, the less policy support needed, but property policy will continue to stay supportive in the coming months as 1) the new home sales remained fragile and still declined 23% YoY YTD despite the recent improvement.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Good news is bad news?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Beike reported (8 Nov) 3Q23 financial results: total revenue was up 1.2% YoY to RMB17.8bn in 3Q23, 12% higher than both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly due to better-than-feared GTV generation from both existing home transactions (EHT) and new home transactions (NHT) aided by the relaxation of policy restrictions, and stronger-than-expected revenue growth in home renovation business.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB2.1bn, better than our forecast/consensus estimate of RMB875mn/988mn, thanks to better-thanexpected revenue generation and stringent-than-expected cost saving.</li><li>Based on a prudent estimation, management guided 4Q23 revenue to be between RMB18.0bn and RMB18.5bn, implying growth of 7.5-10.5% YoY and 1-4% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Beike reported (8 Nov) 3Q23 financial results: total revenue was up 1.2% YoY to RMB17.8bn in 3Q23, 12% higher than both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly due to better-than-feared GTV generation from both existing home transactions (EHT) and new home transactions (NHT) aided by the relaxation of policy restrictions, and stronger-than-expected revenue growth in home renovation business.Non-GAAP net income was RMB2.1bn, better than our forecast/consensus estimate of RMB875mn/988mn, thanks to better-thanexpected revenue generation and stringent-than-expected cost saving.Based on a prudent estimation, management guided 4Q23 revenue to be between RMB18.0bn and RMB18.5bn, implying growth of 7.5-10.5% YoY and 1-4% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ke Holdings (BEKE US) – Expecting a Sequential Recovery in 4Q

<ul><li>According to Beijing Daily, Beijing Lianjia has lowered commission rate for existing home transactions (EHT) in Beijing, from previous nominal rate of 2.7% to 2.0%, and will start to charge 1.0% each on both home sellers and buyers, instead of only from the buyer side.</li><li>In the prudent scenario, we estimate a 1.5/6.3% negative impact on Ke Holdings (Beike)’s group-level contribution profit (CP) in 2023/2024E.</li><li>However, we expect limited long-term impact on Beike’s earnings from the adjustment of commission rate, as: 1) current commission rate for EHT in Beijing could be lower than 2.7%; 2) Lianjia in cities other than Beijing may have limited room to cut rates given actual rates could be lower than 2%. Maintain BUY with SOTP-based TP unchanged at US$24.5.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

According to Beijing Daily, Beijing Lianjia has lowered commission rate for existing home transactions (EHT) in Beijing, from previous nominal rate of 2.7% to 2.0%, and will start to charge 1.0% each on both home sellers and buyers, instead of only from the buyer side.In the prudent scenario, we estimate a 1.5/6.3% negative impact on Ke Holdings (Beike)’s group-level contribution profit (CP) in 2023/2024E.However, we expect limited long-term impact on Beike’s earnings from the adjustment of commission rate, as: 1) current commission rate for EHT in Beijing could be lower than 2.7%; 2) Lianjia in cities other than Beijing may have limited room to cut rates given actual rates could be lower than 2%. Maintain BUY with SOTP-based TP unchanged at US$24.5.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales continued to cheer up the market

The latest high frequency data continues to cheer up the market especially the new home sales which booked +9%/+35% WoW/MTD YoY growth and the YTD...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Mildly positive for CSRC’s pilot private investment scheme in real estate

We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Good news is bad news?

Property+ sector saw a decent correction on articles from Economic daily and Qiushi that reiterated property price increase and financial system risk.

CMB International