External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tata Motors: JLR Q2 margins declined 140bps QoQ to 14.9% due to adverse mix, higher VME + FME and this was despite higher capitalization rate</li><li>India PV and CV margins improved over 100bps QoQ, largely due to improved volumes and soft input costs</li><li>While FY24 is an operationally strong year for JLR, we expect it to face multiple headwinds from FY25, which include: 1) demand uncertainty in key regions, 2) normalization of mix, 3) rise in VME + FME as it moves from “demand pull” to “sales push mode”, 4) need to raise capex at a time when margins may not be supportive</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Motors: JLR Q2 margins declined 140bps QoQ to 14.9% due to adverse mix, higher VME + FME and this was despite higher capitalization rateIndia PV and CV margins improved over 100bps QoQ, largely due to improved volumes and soft input costsWhile FY24 is an operationally strong year for JLR, we expect it to face multiple headwinds from FY25, which include: 1) demand uncertainty in key regions, 2) normalization of mix, 3) rise in VME + FME as it moves from “demand pull” to “sales push mode”, 4) need to raise capex at a time when margins may not be supportiveContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Motors, Britannia Industries, Dabur, Hero Motocorp

<ul><li>NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)</li><li>The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ Way</li><li>We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capex</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ WayWe have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capexContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted</li><li>New NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in ordering</li><li>We expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained mutedNew NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in orderingWe expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We expect road construction companies under our coverage to report Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growth of 13%/9%/9% YoY as growth in the last year was impacted by excessive monsoon rainfall.</li><li>The expected growth can be attributed to better execution by Infra companies, which in turn, supported higher profitability during the quarter.</li><li>H1 is traditionally a slow period for project execution for infra companies and it tends to improve in H2. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect road construction companies under our coverage to report Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growth of 13%/9%/9% YoY as growth in the last year was impacted by excessive monsoon rainfall.The expected growth can be attributed to better execution by Infra companies, which in turn, supported higher profitability during the quarter.H1 is traditionally a slow period for project execution for infra companies and it tends to improve in H2. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)</li><li>This was driven mainly by strong pre-buy for CPCB 2 gensets</li><li>The deadline for the sale of these gensets has been extended until Jul’24 (an extension of six months)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)This was driven mainly by strong pre-buy for CPCB 2 gensetsThe deadline for the sale of these gensets has been extended until Jul’24 (an extension of six months)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Devyani International, Radico Khaitan

India

KEC International is an Indian multinational company and a global Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) major. It specializes in power transmission and distribution, railways, civil, urban infrastructure, oil and gas pipelines, renewables, and cables. The company also manufactures electric power transmission towers and a range of power and special-purpose cables. KEC International is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on May 7, 1945.

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KEC International (KECI IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Motors, Britannia Industries, Dabur, Hero Motocorp

Tata Motors: JLR Q2 margins declined 140bps QoQ to 14.9% due to adverse mix, higher VME + FME and this was despite higher capitalization rate

HDFC Securities

Industrials: N’HAI’ Way

We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted

HDFC Securities

Infra-Road Q2FY24 Earnings Preview

We expect road construction companies under our coverage to report Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growth of 13%/9%/9% YoY as growth in the last year was...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Devyani International, Radico Khaitan

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)

HDFC Securities

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