Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> made an <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SCM%20Press%20Release%2027.10.2022.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=735575" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> of revised structure and revised terms.</li>
<li>Under revised terms, Sembcorp will issue fewer shares to Keppel, and it will be a takeover rather than Scheme of Arrangement. Keppel will deliver more shares to shareholders, keeping less. </li>
<li>Just like the first announcement, there is a little here for everyone. Keppel doesn't do a great job of selling it but it is still win-win. </li>
</ul>


Today, Keppel Corp (KEP SP) and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) made an announcement of revised structure and revised terms.
Under revised terms, Sembcorp will issue fewer shares to Keppel, and it will be a takeover rather than Scheme of Arrangement. Keppel will deliver more shares to shareholders, keeping less. 
Just like the first announcement, there is a little here for everyone. Keppel doesn't do a great job of selling it but it is still win-win. 


Keppel & Sembcorp Marine Revise Transaction, Improve Terms to SMM

<ul>
<li>The Keppel O&amp;M / SMM Combination and Keppel Rig Asset Restructure were announced today and the arithmetic is both tough and interesting. There's a little magic here.</li>
<li>KEP shareholders receive SMM shares worth ~1/3 of today's share price, and the rest is currently valued at well under Net Tangible Assets post-Restructuring/Transaction.</li>
<li>That suggests Keppel has upside, but one must think carefully about the exposures.</li>
</ul>


The Keppel O&amp;M / SMM Combination and Keppel Rig Asset Restructure were announced today and the arithmetic is both tough and interesting. There's a little magic here.
KEP shareholders receive SMM shares worth ~1/3 of today's share price, and the rest is currently valued at well under Net Tangible Assets post-Restructuring/Transaction.
That suggests Keppel has upside, but one must think carefully about the exposures.


The Keppel Restructuring - Forward Sum Of The Parts Makes KEP Look Cheap. And It Is... But...

<ul>
<li>Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine have announced the O&amp;M business combination and it is a little more interesting than expected. It is a Very Big Desirable Order Book.</li>
<li>Separately, there is the potential for more index inclusion flow based on the conclusion of the combination in Q4.</li>
<li>The light at the end of the tunnel used to be far away, and one was never sure if it wasn't an oncoming train. It's closer and clearer now.</li>
</ul>


Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine have announced the O&amp;M business combination and it is a little more interesting than expected. It is a Very Big Desirable Order Book.
Separately, there is the potential for more index inclusion flow based on the conclusion of the combination in Q4.
The light at the end of the tunnel used to be far away, and one was never sure if it wasn't an oncoming train. It's closer and clearer now.


Sembcorp Marine and the Keppel O&M Business Combination - Brighter Light at the End of the Tunnel

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a> had serious data problems. It still listed itself, against the wishes of the regulators. Then it got in serious hot water. And it's been getting hotter. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> announced an unsolicited, non-binding Offer from KKR (and HISTA), at A$88.00/share, a 36.7% premium to last close, however, earnings have been left bedridden by the pandemic.</li>
<li>Post-Deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> will look more like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1087:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP)</a>. More engineering, less power generation infra assets, more other infra assets and more data centres. </li>
</ul>



DiDi Global (DIDI US) had serious data problems. It still listed itself, against the wishes of the regulators. Then it got in serious hot water. And it's been getting hotter. 

Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) announced an unsolicited, non-binding Offer from KKR (and HISTA), at A$88.00/share, a 36.7% premium to last close, however, earnings have been left bedridden by the pandemic.
Post-Deal, Keppel Corp (KEP SP) will look more like Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP). More engineering, less power generation infra assets, more other infra assets and more data centres. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Didi Global, Ramsay Health, Keppel Corp, Melco, Toshiba, Twitter

<ul>
<li>20 months ago, Temasek walked away from a deal to buy control of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> as the O&amp;M business saw large writedowns and covid stoppage losses.</li>
<li>The story? A possible Keppel O&amp;M and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> merger. SMM was recapped and spun out of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1087:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP)</a> then recapped again. </li>
<li>Now it's crunch time. Keppel &amp; SMM hope to update investors on a merger plan by end of April. This insight looks at what to look out for.</li>
</ul>


20 months ago, Temasek walked away from a deal to buy control of Keppel Corp (KEP SP) as the O&amp;M business saw large writedowns and covid stoppage losses.
The story? A possible Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) merger. SMM was recapped and spun out of Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP) then recapped again. 
Now it's crunch time. Keppel &amp; SMM hope to update investors on a merger plan by end of April. This insight looks at what to look out for.


Keppel : Thinking About Keppel/SMM MergeCo and NEW KEPPEL Pro-Forma Opportunities

Singapore

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

Keppel Corp (KEP SP)

Keppel & Sembcorp Marine Revise Transaction, Improve Terms to SMM

Keppel and SMM have amended the transaction structure and terms, and it is a win-win, but perhaps more of a win for SMM as it catches up with...

Travis Lundy

The Keppel Restructuring - Forward Sum Of The Parts Makes KEP Look Cheap. And It Is... But...

Keppel and SMM announced a complicated restructuring package which gets KEP out of the rig business and delivers shares in SMM to its own...

Travis Lundy

Sembcorp Marine and the Keppel O&M Business Combination - Brighter Light at the End of the Tunnel

Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine have announced the combination of their O&M business after the restructuring of Keppel O&M, asset disposal, etc....

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Didi Global, Ramsay Health, Keppel Corp, Melco, Toshiba, Twitter

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Keppel : Thinking About Keppel/SMM MergeCo and NEW KEPPEL Pro-Forma Opportunities

Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine appear on their way to a deal to merge their O&M businesses. The backdrop is healthier now. And it means a...

Travis Lundy