SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>5 S-Reits with year-on-year improvements in H1 2023 DPU Among them, 10 S-Reits reported higher year-on-year (yoy) net property income (NPI) for the half-year period ended Jun 30, 2023.</li><li>CDL Hospitality Trusts’ H1 2023 NPI increased by 23.3 per cent yoy, largely attributed to Singapore, Japan, Australia, Europe and UK markets.</li></ul>

5 S-Reits with year-on-year improvements in H1 2023 DPU Among them, 10 S-Reits reported higher year-on-year (yoy) net property income (NPI) for the half-year period ended Jun 30, 2023.CDL Hospitality Trusts’ H1 2023 NPI increased by 23.3 per cent yoy, largely attributed to Singapore, Japan, Australia, Europe and UK markets.

REIT Watch - Hospitality trusts report higher DPU for H1 2023

<ul><li>The month of May saw the iEdge S-Reit Index decline 3.0 per cent in total return on the back of persistent inflation and growing expectations of a June rate hike, reversing its 0.6 per cent gains in April.</li><li>By sub-segments, retail S-Reits, which averaged total returns of 0.9 per cent in May, is the only S-Reits sub-segment which averaged positive total returns.</li><li>On the other hand, office S-Reits underperformed for the month, averaging 9.9 per cent declines in total returns.</li></ul>

The month of May saw the iEdge S-Reit Index decline 3.0 per cent in total return on the back of persistent inflation and growing expectations of a June rate hike, reversing its 0.6 per cent gains in April.By sub-segments, retail S-Reits, which averaged total returns of 0.9 per cent in May, is the only S-Reits sub-segment which averaged positive total returns.On the other hand, office S-Reits underperformed for the month, averaging 9.9 per cent declines in total returns.

REIT Watch – Retail S-REITs among top performers in May

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After underperforming since listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85:1" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> over the last few months.</li>
<li>However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> still trades at cheaper valuations as compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85:1" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a>. </li>
<li>There could be relative outperformance over the next few weeks and any underperformance can be used to enter positions in the pair. There is an important catalyst.</li>
</ul>


After underperforming since listing, Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) has outperformed Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) over the last few months.
However, Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) still trades at cheaper valuations as compared to Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP). 
There could be relative outperformance over the next few weeks and any underperformance can be used to enter positions in the pair. There is an important catalyst.


REIT Pair Trade: Long DCREIT SP/ Short KDCREIT SP

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) recently launched a public consultation regarding a Code of Conduct for ESG ratings providers and ESG data product providers in Singapore.</li>
<li>It is the right approach for Singapore – a <em>voluntary</em> best-practices framework furthering one of the world's most credible "green" economies, not a regulatory force-fix of something broken.</li>
<li>No surprise ratings methodology changes. No <em>en masse</em> upgrades/downgrades. No acute shocks to the system. Just slow and steady progress for ESG investing and finance in Singapore.</li>
</ul>


The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) recently launched a public consultation regarding a Code of Conduct for ESG ratings providers and ESG data product providers in Singapore.
It is the right approach for Singapore – a voluntary best-practices framework furthering one of the world's most credible "green" economies, not a regulatory force-fix of something broken.
No surprise ratings methodology changes. No en masse upgrades/downgrades. No acute shocks to the system. Just slow and steady progress for ESG investing and finance in Singapore.


Singapore Code of Conduct for ESG Ratings Is Less Risk and More Reward

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>’s 3Q22 results beat both revenue and adjusted EBITDA consensus estimates. Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year.</li>
<li>Chindata continues to attract rumours of takeover interest, most recently from China Merchants. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating make it a target. </li>
<li>A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>’s multiple implied by its founder’s offer (at US$8.20), would imply Chindata’s price of US$8 per ADS.  </li>
</ul>



Chindata Group (CD US)’s 3Q22 results beat both revenue and adjusted EBITDA consensus estimates. Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year.
Chindata continues to attract rumours of takeover interest, most recently from China Merchants. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating make it a target. 
A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, in line with 21Vianet Group (VNET US)’s multiple implied by its founder’s offer (at US$8.20), would imply Chindata’s price of US$8 per ADS.  


2023 High Conviction: Chindata's Track Record & Rating Makes It a Takeover Target

Singapore

Keppel DC REIT is Asia's first pure-play data centre REIT listed on the Singapore Exchange. Keppel DC REIT's investment strategy is to principally invest, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate assets which are used primarily for data centre purposes, as well as real estate related assets.

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Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)

REIT Watch - Hospitality trusts report higher DPU for H1 2023

5 S-Reits with year-on-year improvements in H1 2023 DPU Among them, 10 S-Reits reported higher year-on-year (yoy) net property income (NPI) for...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch – Retail S-REITs among top performers in May

The month of May saw the iEdge S-Reit Index decline 3.0 per cent in total return on the back of persistent inflation and growing expectations of a...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Pair Trade: Long DCREIT SP/ Short KDCREIT SP

DCREIT underperformed KDCREIT since listing but has bounced back recently. Still trades at cheaper valuations though. A big catalyst could lead to...

Brian Freitas

Singapore Code of Conduct for ESG Ratings Is Less Risk and More Reward

Singapore's Code of Conduct for ESG ratings is more light-handed than other regulation-based approaches, but therein lies the "less risk and more...

Kyle Rudden

2023 High Conviction: Chindata's Track Record & Rating Makes It a Takeover Target

Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating...

Arun George

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