Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/237/629/original/image_32975221321635260585172.png?1635260588" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="237629"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates – Robust growth from acquisitions, healthy occupancy and collections</h3><ul><li>9M21 revenue and NPI increased by 34.8% and 36.8% YoY to S$162.2m (74.8% of BB est.) and S$129.4m (75.0% of BB est.), respectively. 9M21 DI was up 20.8% YoY to S$159.9m (83.3% of BB est.), mainly due to contributions from Victoria Police Centre, Pinnacle Office Park and Keppel Bay Tower. The increase in DI was partially offset by the impact of the divestment of 275 George Street in Jul21</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Keppel REIT (KREIT SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – Robust growth from acquisitions, healthy occupancy and collections9M21 revenue and NPI increased by 34.8% and 36.8% YoY to S$162.2m (74.8% of BB est.) and S$129.4m (75.0% of BB est.), respectively. 9M21 DI was up 20.8% YoY to S$159.9m (83.3% of BB est.), mainly due to contributions from Victoria Police Centre, Pinnacle Office Park and Keppel Bay Tower. The increase in DI was partially offset by the impact of the divestment of 275 George Street in Jul21

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>The Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21</h3>Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.

SingaporeThe Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)</h3>
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.
<ul>
<li>Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand</li>
<li>We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth</li>
<li>We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations</li>
<li>Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/247/original/image003+%283%29.png?1625105065" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216247"></figure>
</section>
</li>
</ul>

Singapore
SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.

Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand
We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth
We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations
Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.






ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;"> </td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">ECWREIT</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">SASSR</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">BHGREIT</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Period</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">30.8 (+30.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">EMA Rental Income: 34.1 (+23.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">27.7 (+30.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">EMA Rental Income (Excluding straight-line adjustments): 32.3 (+27.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.53</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.759 (+31.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.91</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.922</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.81</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.00</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.64(Based on 4Q20 NAV)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;"> 99.1</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">93.5</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">92.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;"> NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">38.3</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">27.6</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">35.6</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">4.1</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">3.3</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">3.8</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">7.76</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">7.46</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">100% of offshore facilities</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">60% of offshore loans</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Rating</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr></tbody></table><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 1Q21 DPU +32.3% YoY; Robust growth but DI retention persist with retained DI snowballing to S$5.49m</h3><ul><li>Both revenue and NPI grew by 30.9% YoY in 1Q21 to S$30.8m (26.9% BB est.) and S$27.7m (28.1% BB est.), respectively, mainly due to absence of rental rebates in 1Q20 and strengthening of RMB. In RMB terms, gross revenue and NPI were 26.0% and 26.1% YoY higher, respectively</li><li>1Q21 DPU increased 32.3% YoY or 7.4% QoQ to S$1.532c (26.9% BB est.), mainly due to absence of rental rebates given. ECWREIT continued to retain 10% of DI in 1Q21 (vs. 10% in 4Q20 and 5% in 1Q20) on a conservative view of uncertainties arising from prolonged COVID-19 pandemic globally and for general working capital purpose</li><li>ECWREIT has secured renewal of major lease at Hengde Logistics, extending WALE to 3.2 years (by GRI) from 3.1 years as at 31Mar21. ~11.8% of GRI will be due for renewal for the remaining of FY21E</li><li>Portfolio occupancy remains robust at 99.1% (vs. 99.3% in 4Q20 and 96.7% in 3Q20)</li><li>On 30Apr, ECWREIT announced an incident of a displacement and collapse of a berth at Chongxian Port Investment that resulted in the damage of two gantry cranes located within the vicinity of the berth. Due to the location of the damaged area, the operations at the damaged berth and the 2 adjacent berths have been suspended. The rest of the port operation is not affected. The cause of the incident is still being investigated. ECWREIT is working closely with the insurer to assess the quantum of revenue loss and property damage recoverable by insurance claims</li><li>Portfolio gearing stands at 38.3% (vs. 38.1% in 4Q20 and 38.6% in 1Q20) with average cost of debt of 4.1% pa. (vs. 4.2% in 4Q20 and 4.3% in 1Q20) and 100% of offshore facilities hedged</li><li>ECWREIT currently trades at 7.76% FY21E yield and 0.81x P/B.</li></ul>Comments: 1Q21 revenue and NPI came in at 26.5% and 26.0% of our full-year FY21E estimates, respectively. Meanwhile, 1Q21 DPU came in at 27.5% of FY21E estimates. Note that we have assumed a 10% DI retention for FY21E, the higher than expected 1Q21 DPU was due to a lower 1Q21 tax rate at 24.7% (vs. our projected 38.0%). Including 1Q21’s S$1.38m, total retained DI since 1Q20 has amounted to S$5.49m (or S$0.681c per Unit). Port Logistics had done well in 1Q21, with revenue increasing 40.4% YoY to S$12.7m, and NPI increasing 41.8% YoY to S$11.9m (NPI margin +0.9pp. YoY to 93.5%). E-commerce Logistics has also recorded a strong 1Q21 growth, with revenue and NPI rising 32.4% and 30.9% YoY to S$14.7m and S$12.7m, respectively (NPI margin -1.0% to 86.5%). On the other hand, Specialised Logistics was muted in 1Q21, with Revenue and NPI flattish YoY at S$3.4m and S$3.1m, respectively (NPI margin +0.7pp. to 90.7%). While insurance claims could offset the revenue loss and restoration costs somewhat, we are cognizant that Chongxian Port Investment contributed to ~27% and ~28% of FY20 Revenue and NPI, respectively. We are currently reviewing our recommendations for ECWREIT.

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) ECWREITSASSRBHGREITPeriod1Q211Q211Q21Gross Revenue (S$ m)30.8 (+30.9% YoY)EMA Rental Income: 34.1 (+23.4% YoY)Not DisclosedNPI (S$ m)27.7 (+30.9% YoY)EMA Rental Income (Excluding straight-line adjustments): 32.3 (+27.8% YoY)Not DisclosedDPU (S$ c)1.531.759 (+31.9% YoY)Not DisclosedNAV per Unit (S$)0.910.922Not DisclosedP/B (x)0.811.000.64(Based on 4Q20 NAV)Occupancy (%) 99.193.592.1Reversion (%) NANot DisclosedNot DisclosedGearing (%)38.327.635.6Cost of Debt (%)4.13.33.81 Yr Fwd Yield (%)7.767.46NADebt Hedged (%)100% of offshore facilitiesNot Disclosed60% of offshore loansTarget PriceUnder ReviewNANARatingUnder ReviewNANAEC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 1Q21 DPU +32.3% YoY; Robust growth but DI retention persist with retained DI snowballing to S$5.49mBoth revenue and NPI grew by 30.9% YoY in 1Q21 to S$30.8m (26.9% BB est.) and S$27.7m (28.1% BB est.), respectively, mainly due to absence of rental rebates in 1Q20 and strengthening of RMB. In RMB terms, gross revenue and NPI were 26.0% and 26.1% YoY higher, respectively1Q21 DPU increased 32.3% YoY or 7.4% QoQ to S$1.532c (26.9% BB est.), mainly due to absence of rental rebates given. ECWREIT continued to retain 10% of DI in 1Q21 (vs. 10% in 4Q20 and 5% in 1Q20) on a conservative view of uncertainties arising from prolonged COVID-19 pandemic globally and for general working capital purposeECWREIT has secured renewal of major lease at Hengde Logistics, extending WALE to 3.2 years (by GRI) from 3.1 years as at 31Mar21. ~11.8% of GRI will be due for renewal for the remaining of FY21EPortfolio occupancy remains robust at 99.1% (vs. 99.3% in 4Q20 and 96.7% in 3Q20)On 30Apr, ECWREIT announced an incident of a displacement and collapse of a berth at Chongxian Port Investment that resulted in the damage of two gantry cranes located within the vicinity of the berth. Due to the location of the damaged area, the operations at the damaged berth and the 2 adjacent berths have been suspended. The rest of the port operation is not affected. The cause of the incident is still being investigated. ECWREIT is working closely with the insurer to assess the quantum of revenue loss and property damage recoverable by insurance claimsPortfolio gearing stands at 38.3% (vs. 38.1% in 4Q20 and 38.6% in 1Q20) with average cost of debt of 4.1% pa. (vs. 4.2% in 4Q20 and 4.3% in 1Q20) and 100% of offshore facilities hedgedECWREIT currently trades at 7.76% FY21E yield and 0.81x P/B.Comments: 1Q21 revenue and NPI came in at 26.5% and 26.0% of our full-year FY21E estimates, respectively. Meanwhile, 1Q21 DPU came in at 27.5% of FY21E estimates. Note that we have assumed a 10% DI retention for FY21E, the higher than expected 1Q21 DPU was due to a lower 1Q21 tax rate at 24.7% (vs. our projected 38.0%). Including 1Q21’s S$1.38m, total retained DI since 1Q20 has amounted to S$5.49m (or S$0.681c per Unit). Port Logistics had done well in 1Q21, with revenue increasing 40.4% YoY to S$12.7m, and NPI increasing 41.8% YoY to S$11.9m (NPI margin +0.9pp. YoY to 93.5%). E-commerce Logistics has also recorded a strong 1Q21 growth, with revenue and NPI rising 32.4% and 30.9% YoY to S$14.7m and S$12.7m, respectively (NPI margin -1.0% to 86.5%). On the other hand, Specialised Logistics was muted in 1Q21, with Revenue and NPI flattish YoY at S$3.4m and S$3.1m, respectively (NPI margin +0.7pp. to 90.7%). While insurance claims could offset the revenue loss and restoration costs somewhat, we are cognizant that Chongxian Port Investment contributed to ~27% and ~28% of FY20 Revenue and NPI, respectively. We are currently reviewing our recommendations for ECWREIT.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12May21) - ECWREIT strong growth despite retention

Singapore

Keppel REIT is a commercial real estate investment trust that invests in a portfolio of prime commercial assets across Asia Pacific's key business districts, including Singapore, Australia, South Korea, and Japan. It aims to generate stable income and sustainable long-term total returns for its unitholders. Keppel REIT was established in 2005 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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