IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The precondition for the consortium’s privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> has been satisfied. The right to increase the share alternative cap was also satisfied. </li>
<li>The consortium has until 12 December to decide whether to increase the share cap. The option helps the consortium gain support from shareholders who would not accept the cash offer. </li>
<li>The scheme vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. </li>
</ul>


The precondition for the consortium’s privatisation offer for ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) has been satisfied. The right to increase the share alternative cap was also satisfied. 
The consortium has until 12 December to decide whether to increase the share cap. The option helps the consortium gain support from shareholders who would not accept the cash offer. 
The scheme vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> has disclosed a preconditional scheme privatisation offer from a consortium. The offer is cash (HK$12.18) or scrip (One TopCo Class A Share per scheme share). </li>
<li>The precondition relates to SAMR approval. The scheme vote is low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. </li>
<li>The offer price is final. Mr Wang Yongjun, the former chairman, holds a blocking stake but should be supportive. Timing is the key risk. </li>
</ul>



ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) has disclosed a preconditional scheme privatisation offer from a consortium. The offer is cash (HK$12.18) or scrip (One TopCo Class A Share per scheme share). 
The precondition relates to SAMR approval. The scheme vote is low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. 
The offer price is final. Mr Wang Yongjun, the former chairman, holds a blocking stake but should be supportive. Timing is the key risk. 


ANE (9956 HK): Consortium’s Attractive Preconditional Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> is on a halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.</em>” </li>
<li>I expect the halt is related to a potential privatisation bid from either a trade buyer, such as one of the Tongda operators, or an MBO sponsored by Centurium Capital.</li>
<li>I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a range of HK$11.34-11.80 per share, with an average of HK$11.55, a 14% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) is on a halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
I expect the halt is related to a potential privatisation bid from either a trade buyer, such as one of the Tongda operators, or an MBO sponsored by Centurium Capital.
I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a range of HK$11.34-11.80 per share, with an average of HK$11.55, a 14% premium to the last close.


ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Trade Buyer or Centurium Capital to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>H125 results from KEX, J&amp;T Global (SE Asia) tell two very different stories</li>
<li>KEX shrunk under pressure from J&amp;T and Flash, a private express "unicorn"</li>
<li>SE Asia still promises X-border growth; impact on SF Holding limited</li>
</ul>


H125 results from KEX, J&amp;T Global (SE Asia) tell two very different stories
KEX shrunk under pressure from J&amp;T and Flash, a private express "unicorn"
SE Asia still promises X-border growth; impact on SF Holding limited


After Battling J&T Global and Flash in Thailand's Express Market, KEX Shrinks, Then Delists

<ul>
<li>The Taiwanese air cargo specialists CAL and EVA reported slowing growth, lower LF in April</li>
<li>Despite a few outliers, tonnage growth and utilization at other Asian carriers also weaker</li>
<li>All signs point to sluggish US demand, which is unlikely to recover any time soon</li>
</ul>


The Taiwanese air cargo specialists CAL and EVA reported slowing growth, lower LF in April
Despite a few outliers, tonnage growth and utilization at other Asian carriers also weaker
All signs point to sluggish US demand, which is unlikely to recover any time soon


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | April Data Shows Slowing Demand, Low (And Falling) Capacity Utilization

Hong Kong

KLN Logistics Group Limited is a global third-party logistics (3PL) provider offering integrated logistics and international freight forwarding services, including air, ocean, road, and rail freight, as well as e-commerce and supply chain solutions. The company serves various industries such as fashion, electronics, food & beverage, and pharmaceuticals. Founded in 1981, KLN Logistics Group is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

KLN Logistics (636 HK)

ANE (9956 HK): Precondition Satisfied

The vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. At last close, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%...

Arun George

ANE (9956 HK): Consortium’s Attractive Preconditional Offer

The scheme vote is low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. Timing is the key risk.

Arun George

ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Trade Buyer or Centurium Capital to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

On 17 September, the Board received a conditional privatisation proposal from Centurium Capital and Temasek. No price was disclosed. Nearly a month...

Arun George

After Battling J&T Global and Flash in Thailand's Express Market, KEX Shrinks, Then Delists

Under pressure on multiple fronts, Kerry Express Thailand recently delisted its shares after less than five years of life as a publicly-traded...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | April Data Shows Slowing Demand, Low (And Falling) Capacity Utilization

April data from Asian carriers and a range of air cargo gateways on both sides of the Pacific suggest moderating demand growth and low carrier...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)