Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.</li>
<li>Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.</li>
<li>Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.</li>
</ul>


From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.
Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.
Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.


Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February(2/25/25) we were expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.However,after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed 4/1/25 that we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity</li>
<li>We downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious. We then discussed last week(4/8/25)how it was a logical spot for a local bottom to develop at 4800-4820 on SPX and $402-$412 on QQQ. </li>
<li>A rally sparked from there, but we now are looking for SPX rally to fizzle, either here at 5490-5500 (20-day MA) or the 200-day MA (currently 5754) or 5785 level</li>
</ul>


Since late-February(2/25/25) we were expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.However,after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed 4/1/25 that we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity
We downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious. We then discussed last week(4/8/25)how it was a logical spot for a local bottom to develop at 4800-4820 on SPX and $402-$412 on QQQ. 
A rally sparked from there, but we now are looking for SPX rally to fizzle, either here at 5490-5500 (20-day MA) or the 200-day MA (currently 5754) or 5785 level


Expecting SPX Rally to Fizzle at 5490-5500 or 5785; Still Bearish/Cautious and Defensive

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

In today’s report we outline  our belief that the combination of extreme oversold conditions and several key sectors/industries holding above major long-term support lead us to believe an important bottom has been established. We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Staples, Financials, and Health Care: Large- &amp; Small-Cap Soft Drinks &amp; Bottlers, Electronic Exchanges/Markets, and Large- and Mid-Cap Biotech.

In today’s report we outline  our belief that the combination of extreme oversold conditions and several key sectors/industries holding above major long-term support lead us to believe an important bottom has been established. We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Staples, Financials, and Health Care: Large- &amp; Small-Cap Soft Drinks &amp; Bottlers, Electronic Exchanges/Markets, and Large- and Mid-Cap Biotech.

A Bottom Has Been Established; Possible Retest?

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems with antibiotic resistance due to misuse should be taken seriously.

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems with antibiotic resistance due to misuse should be taken seriously.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The use of intermarket analysis is a practical method of assessing the future inflection points in the economy and the stock market.  Intermarket analysis is intuitive and logical. For example, we take two widely followed consumer ETFs, including XLY (discretionary) and XLP (staples). We use the US ETFs since they are the most liquid and have the deepest…

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The use of intermarket analysis is a practical method of assessing the future inflection points in the economy and the stock market.  Intermarket analysis is intuitive and logical. For example, we take two widely followed consumer ETFs, including XLY (discretionary) and XLP (staples). We use the US ETFs since they are the most liquid and have the deepest…

United States

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. manufactures and distributes non-alcoholic beverages. The Company offers soft drinks, juices, teas, mixers, water, and other beverages. Keurig Dr Pepper serves customers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP US)

Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

An owner's view of how pricing power, rented distribution and patient capital allocation put an energy drink at the top of the century's...

Urbem Capital

Expecting SPX Rally to Fizzle at 5490-5500 or 5785; Still Bearish/Cautious and Defensive

Expecting $SPX Rally to Fizzle at 5490-5500 or 5785; Still Bearish/Cautious and Defensive. Crucial long-term SPX and $QQQ supports at 4800-4820 and...

Vermilion Research

A Bottom Has Been Established; Possible Retest?

In today’s report we outline our belief that the combination of extreme oversold conditions and several key sectors/industries holding above major...

Vermilion Research

Issues Raised by WH Group and US Pork

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems...

Bixmoor

Intermarket Analysis (1): XLY Versus XLP

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)