Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global funds remain structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China &amp; HK widely held but still below index weight; India stands out as the clearest consensus underweight.</li>
<li>Taiwan Technology dominates sector positioning as the largest regional overweight, while Australian and Asian Financials are structural underweights; rotation shows China sectors and Japan Financials/Industrials gaining traction.</li>
<li>Stock leadership is highly concentrated in TSMC, now owned by 61% of funds; second-tier names stagnate while SK Hynix, BYD, and Sea Ltd attract rising investor participation.</li>
</ul>


Global funds remain structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China &amp; HK widely held but still below index weight; India stands out as the clearest consensus underweight.
Taiwan Technology dominates sector positioning as the largest regional overweight, while Australian and Asian Financials are structural underweights; rotation shows China sectors and Japan Financials/Industrials gaining traction.
Stock leadership is highly concentrated in TSMC, now owned by 61% of funds; second-tier names stagnate while SK Hynix, BYD, and Sea Ltd attract rising investor participation.


Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.</li>
<li>
Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.

Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.

Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.


Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Business: Designs and integrates intralogistics, cleanroom, airport, and automotive automation systems.</li>
<li>Expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with recurring service growth.</li>
<li>Earnings projected to grow mid-teens CAGR to FY27E, with multiples compressing from ~25× P/E / 15× EV/EBITDA to ~20× / 12×, justifying a structural premium.</li>
</ul>


Business: Designs and integrates intralogistics, cleanroom, airport, and automotive automation systems.
Expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with recurring service growth.
Earnings projected to grow mid-teens CAGR to FY27E, with multiples compressing from ~25× P/E / 15× EV/EBITDA to ~20× / 12×, justifying a structural premium.


Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 22nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,656m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco, Tokyo Electron, IHI, Fujikura, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Sanrio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 22nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,656m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco, Tokyo Electron, IHI, Fujikura, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Sanrio.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.</li>
</ul>


There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

Japan

KEYENCE CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and sells sensors and measuring instruments used for factory automation (FA) and high technology hobby products. The Company's products include fiber optic sensors, photoelectric sensors, programmable logic controllers (PLC), laser scan micrometers, bar code readers, and radio-controlled model cars.

Price Gauge
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Keyence Corp (6861 JP)

Global Fund Positioning in Asia

Global funds stay structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China leading the way. Taiwan Tech dominates sector overweights, while TSMC tops...

Steven Holden

Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. The BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually...

Gaudenz Schneider

Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn)....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Fund Positioning in Asia

Global funds stay structurally underweight Asia, with Japan and China leading the way. Taiwan Tech dominates sector overweights, while TSMC tops...

Steven Holden

Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. The BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually...

Gaudenz Schneider

Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

​Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn)....

Brian Freitas

Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.