Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>KRX announced changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices. In KOSPI 200, 6 were added and 6 were removed. In KOSDAQ 150, 13 were added and 13 were removed. </li>
<li>The six additions to KOSPI 200 had an average share price increase of 17.7% YTD. The six deletions had an average share price decline of 2.5% YTD.</li>
<li>One trading idea post the announcement of the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market cap stocks in KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 post rebalance). </li>
</ul>


KRX announced changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices. In KOSPI 200, 6 were added and 6 were removed. In KOSDAQ 150, 13 were added and 13 were removed. 
The six additions to KOSPI 200 had an average share price increase of 17.7% YTD. The six deletions had an average share price decline of 2.5% YTD.
One trading idea post the announcement of the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market cap stocks in KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 post rebalance). 


Trading Idea Post Changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

<ul>
<li>Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets.</li>
<li>Most of the market rebound in KOSPI in the past 100 days have occurred in the past one week.</li>
<li>The rally in global equity markets in the past week seems to suggest some higher probability that the war in Ukraine could be ended in the next several months. </li>
</ul>


Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets.
Most of the market rebound in KOSPI in the past 100 days have occurred in the past one week.
The rally in global equity markets in the past week seems to suggest some higher probability that the war in Ukraine could be ended in the next several months. 


Kissinger's Warning that Ukraine Must Give Russia Territory - A Key Inflection Point for KOSPI?

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanos-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16796:1" rel="noopener">Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),</a>which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sang-a-frontec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20692:1" rel="noopener">Sang A Frontec (089980 KS)</a>, Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koreacenter-com-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28329:1" rel="noopener">Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS)</a>, and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions.

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including Sang A Frontec (089980 KS), Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS), and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions. 

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

In this insight, we provide additional insights regarding the upcoming KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing. According to the KRX, it plans to announce the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalanced stocks at the end of May and the changed KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices will be effective starting 12 June.We have broken down the potential inclusions into KOSPI 200 KOSDAQ 150 into 3 major categories including the following:<ul>
<li>Share price performances YTD</li>
<li>Market Cap</li>
<li>Operating Profit Growth Momentum</li>
</ul><div class="content-highlight">
Combining all of these three factors, the top five companies in our list including Zinus, Hwa Sung Enterprises, F&amp;F, Cuckoo Homesys, POSCO Chemtech, and Cuckoo Homesys are the ones that not only are potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 but also those that can potentially outperform the market after being included in KOSPI 200. 
Combining all of these three factors, the top five companies in our list including ITM Semiconductor, Cowintech, Daou Data Corp, Ebest Investment &amp; Securities, and Neowiz Games are the ones that not only are potential inclusions in KOSDAQ 150 but also those that can potentially outperform the market after being included in KOSDAQ 150.  
</div>

In this insight, we provide additional insights regarding the upcoming KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing. According to the KRX, it plans to announce the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalanced stocks at the end of May and the changed KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices will be effective starting 12 June.We have broken down the potential inclusions into KOSPI 200 KOSDAQ 150 into 3 major categories including the following:
Share price performances YTD
Market Cap
Operating Profit Growth Momentum

Combining all of these three factors, the top five companies in our list including Zinus, Hwa Sung Enterprises, F&amp;F, Cuckoo Homesys, POSCO Chemtech, and Cuckoo Homesys are the ones that not only are potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 but also those that can potentially outperform the market after being included in KOSPI 200. 
Combining all of these three factors, the top five companies in our list including ITM Semiconductor, Cowintech, Daou Data Corp, Ebest Investment &amp; Securities, and Neowiz Games are the ones that not only are potential inclusions in KOSDAQ 150 but also those that can potentially outperform the market after being included in KOSDAQ 150.  


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing in June Update

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February. We're gone through 80% of the trading days.</li>
<li>We currently forecast 42 stocks migrating between the size segments. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap, 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The recent market volatility has led to a narrowing of that gap.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February. We're gone through 80% of the trading days.
We currently forecast 42 stocks migrating between the size segments. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap, 1 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The recent market volatility has led to a narrowing of that gap.


KOSPI Size Indices: Market Volatility Narrows Spread (A Bit)

South Korea

KG Dongbusteel Co., Ltd. manufactures cold rolled sheets, such as commercial quality cold rolled steel sheets, deep drawing quality cold rolled sheets, and stabilized deep drawing cold rolled sheets.  The Company also offers special cold rolled sheets and plating base metals.

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KG Dongbusteel Co., Ltd. (016380 KS)

Trading Idea Post Changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

One trading idea post announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market...

Douglas Kim

Kissinger's Warning that Ukraine Must Give Russia Territory - A Key Inflection Point for KOSPI?

Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets. Global equity...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

We highlight the KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances. There are some interesting new names, especially among those that are over lapping in...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing in June Update

In this insight, we provide additional insights regarding the upcoming KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing. According to the KRX, it plans to...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Market Volatility Narrows Spread (A Bit)

There could be 42 migrations across categories in March, plus new listings being added. The recent market volatility has narrowed the...

Brian Freitas

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