Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.</p>

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

<p>The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM exposure and be selective.  India’s <strong>S&amp;P BSE SENSEX </strong>is our top country-specific EM index recommendation, overweight India. We also provide an update on Brazil’s <strong>Bovespa</strong>, which has surged over the last month following a steep selloff. We are skeptical that the index will be able to continue its unabated advance.  Today’s report also includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM exposure and be selective.  India’s S&amp;P BSE SENSEX is our top country-specific EM index recommendation, overweight India. We also provide an update on Brazil’s Bovespa, which has surged over the last month following a steep selloff. We are skeptical that the index will be able to continue its unabated advance.  Today’s report also includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Approaching Resistance; India Breaking Out to New Highs -- Add Exposure

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>In this report, we screen for stocks that are largely avoided by global emerging market active funds. We identify companies within the MSCI Emerging Markets Index that are held underweight by EM active funds and by less than 3% of the active fund population.</p><p>To test whether avoiding these stocks has been a good strategy, we create an 'EM Unloved' portfolio that contains all the stocks from the screen, rebalanced monthly and back-tested over the last 7 years.</p><p>The results show a significant underperformance of EM Unloved stocks against the benchmark MSCI EM Index, and avoiding these stocks has clearly played a part in the long-term outperformance of EM active funds against the benchmark.  With an average of 26% of the MSCI EM index largely avoided by active EM investors, it questions the logic of broad-based index strategies when it comes to emerging market exposure.</p>

In this report, we screen for stocks that are largely avoided by global emerging market active funds. We identify companies within the MSCI Emerging Markets Index that are held underweight by EM active funds and by less than 3% of the active fund population.To test whether avoiding these stocks has been a good strategy, we create an 'EM Unloved' portfolio that contains all the stocks from the screen, rebalanced monthly and back-tested over the last 7 years.The results show a significant underperformance of EM Unloved stocks against the benchmark MSCI EM Index, and avoiding these stocks has clearly played a part in the long-term outperformance of EM active funds against the benchmark.  With an average of 26% of the MSCI EM index largely avoided by active EM investors, it questions the logic of broad-based index strategies when it comes to emerging market exposure.

EM Managers: Most Avoided Stocks - 2018 Update

<p>Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Wednesday 7 September 2016</p><p><strong>Rotation plays in Asia </strong></p><div>To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu</a> 6:29 min.</div><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/012/922/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1473237558" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="12922"></figure><div class="content-caption">Asia stock rotation webcast</div>
<p>Action point in Taiwan - 9,200 was our pivot risk point for our 9,033 pair short which was cleared calling for cutting this position. </p>
</div><div>TSMC - 180 was our risk point for stopping out our 177.50 short (our short pair bet). Above 185 would constitute a parabolic breakout. Don't want to miss a fade here thus watching 185 which is…</div>

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 7 September 2016Rotation plays in Asia To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu 6:29 min.
Asia stock rotation webcast
Action point in Taiwan - 9,200 was our pivot risk point for our 9,033 pair short which was cleared calling for cutting this position. 
TSMC - 180 was our risk point for stopping out our 177.50 short (our short pair bet). Above 185 would constitute a parabolic breakout. Don't want to miss a fade here thus watching 185 which is…

Taiwan

KGI Financial Holding Co. Ltd. operates a publicly listed financial holding company in Taiwan. The Company initially focuses on venture capital investments evolving comprehensive financial institutions. KGI Financial Holding, though its subsidiaries, maintains solid capital positions and offers a full spectrum of financial services, especially venture capital and private equity services.

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KGI Financial Holding (2883 TT)

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Approaching Resistance; India Breaking Out to New Highs -- Add Exposure

The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM...

Vermilion Research

EM Managers: Most Avoided Stocks - 2018 Update

In this report, we screen for stocks that are largely avoided by global emerging market active funds. We identify companies within the MSCI...

Steven Holden

EM Equity Strategy: Overweight BRIC

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership. In addition...

Vermilion Research

Asia Rotation Picks

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 7 September 2016Rotation plays in Asia To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu 6:29...

Thomas Schroeder

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