Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia (000270 KS)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai (005380 KS)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Kia (000270 KS) and short Hyundai (005380 KS) targets a 12% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Kia (000270 KS) vs. Hyundai (005380 KS) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Kia (000270 KS) and short Hyundai (005380 KS) targets a 12% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Kia (000270 KS) Vs. Short Hyundai (005380 KS): Quant Model Hits Trigger Zone in Korean Autos

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated holding was USD820.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), ISUPETASYS, NAVER.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated holding was USD820.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), ISUPETASYS, NAVER.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For this report we datamined autonomous driving technology (ADT) innovations.</li>
<li>Worldwide over the last decade the ADT sector has seen nearly 25% CAGR growth in patent filings, with over 40,000 patent family filings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delphi-automotive-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20870:1" rel="noopener">Aptiv PLC (APTV US)</a>, with a leadership position in several areas of ADT, strong financials, reasonable valuations and strategic partnerships stands out.  </li>
</ul>


For this report we datamined autonomous driving technology (ADT) innovations.
Worldwide over the last decade the ADT sector has seen nearly 25% CAGR growth in patent filings, with over 40,000 patent family filings.

Aptiv PLC (APTV US), with a leadership position in several areas of ADT, strong financials, reasonable valuations and strategic partnerships stands out.  


South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

Long Kia (000270 KS) Vs. Short Hyundai (005380 KS): Quant Model Hits Trigger Zone in Korean Autos

Pair trade with a 12% target-return amid significant deviation of the price-ratio between Kia and Hyundai. Opportunity for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Autonomous Driving Leadership Landscape

Autonomous driving tech seeing surge in innovations to make journeys safer, more efficient, and intelligent. Welcome to the future of mobility.

Pyari Menon

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Long Kia (000270 KS) Vs. Short Hyundai (005380 KS): Quant Model Hits Trigger Zone in Korean Autos

Pair trade with a 12% target-return amid significant deviation of the price-ratio between Kia and Hyundai. Opportunity for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

​Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Autonomous Driving Leadership Landscape

Autonomous driving tech seeing surge in innovations to make journeys safer, more efficient, and intelligent. Welcome to the future of mobility.

Pyari Menon

Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...