Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, and outflows from Tsingtao Brewery.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, and outflows from Tsingtao Brewery.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $8.1bn Inflows in October

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks, especially to software </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">tech. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">We use five criteria including 1) valuation, 2) profitability, 3) cash level, 4) </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">short ratio and 5) RMB/USD depreciation to determine companies that are less </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">vulnerable to market fluctuations. We find Hikvision (BUY), Glodon (BUY) and </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">AsiaInfo (NR) in the best positions under these five criteria.</span></li><li><div><div><div><p>Heightened macro uncertainties unfavorable to software tech stocks. </p></div></div></div></li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks, especially to software tech. We use five criteria including 1) valuation, 2) profitability, 3) cash level, 4) short ratio and 5) RMB/USD depreciation to determine companies that are less vulnerable to market fluctuations. We find Hikvision (BUY), Glodon (BUY) and AsiaInfo (NR) in the best positions under these five criteria.Heightened macro uncertainties unfavorable to software tech stocks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services - Which Stocks Are Less Vulnerable to Market Volatility?

<div><ul><li>Structural changes in China cloud market. There are three structural changes in China cloud market since the internet sector crackdown in 2021.</li><li><p>China cloud development roadmap is different compared to the US</p></li><li><p><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Cloud supply chain turmoil amid rising geopolitical tension.</span></p></li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Structural changes in China cloud market. There are three structural changes in China cloud market since the internet sector crackdown in 2021.China cloud development roadmap is different compared to the USCloud supply chain turmoil amid rising geopolitical tension.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services – A mixed outlook for China cloud amid rising China-US tension

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We do not expect any inclusions or exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Float and capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 6.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of HK$4,913m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> will have the largest buying flow due a potential increase in free float. The stock is also a potential inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> in September.</li>
</ul>


We do not expect any inclusions or exclusions for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Float and capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 6.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of HK$4,913m.

SenseTime Group (20 HK) will have the largest buying flow due a potential increase in free float. The stock is also a potential inclusion to the HSCEI INDEX in September.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Free Float & Capping Changes To Drive Flows

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 18 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Mobile (941 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Kingdee International (268 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Mobile (941 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK), Tencent (700 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 18 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Mobile (941 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Kingdee International (268 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Mobile (941 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK), Tencent (700 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: China Mobile Buy Back at 1Y High Price

China

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and sells enterprise management software, e-commerce application software and middleware software.  The Company also provides internet-based services and setting up e-commerce platforms for enterprises. In addition, Kingdee provides solution consulting and technical support services.

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Kingdee International Software (268 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $8.1bn Inflows in October

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, Tsingtao Brewery.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Software & IT Services - Which Stocks Are Less Vulnerable to Market Volatility?

Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks,...

CMB International

China Software & IT Services – A mixed outlook for China cloud amid rising China-US tension

Structural changes in China cloud market. There are three structural changes in China cloud market since the internet sector crackdown in 2021.

CMB International

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Free Float & Capping Changes To Drive Flows

No adds/deletes likely in September but float and capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 6.5% and that will result in a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks: China Mobile Buy Back at 1Y High Price

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the Hong Kong market in the past week were China Mobile (941 HK), China Gas...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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