Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After two years and change, SOE-backed power play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-power-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Power (836 HK)</a> has now announced the Shenzhen Stock Exchange has approved the A-share listing off its renewable energy unit.</li>
<li>Earnings, and attributable installed capacity, is now evenly split between CRP's thermal and renewable energy segments. </li>
<li>Shenzhen (&amp; Shanghai) renewable energy peers trade at significantly higher multiples to HK-listed plays. Assuming the spin-off occurs, there remains material upside to CRP here. </li>
</ul>


After two years and change, SOE-backed power play China Resources Power (836 HK) has now announced the Shenzhen Stock Exchange has approved the A-share listing off its renewable energy unit.
Earnings, and attributable installed capacity, is now evenly split between CRP's thermal and renewable energy segments. 
Shenzhen (&amp; Shanghai) renewable energy peers trade at significantly higher multiples to HK-listed plays. Assuming the spin-off occurs, there remains material upside to CRP here. 


CR Power (836 HK): Still Upside From Expected Clean Energy Spin-Off

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative video formats (live broadcasting, short-form video) further drives  engagement and monetization. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/26" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1">Tencent (700 HK)</a> remains the unrivaled mobile traffic gateway in China with 48% of user time spent and five of the top ten mobile apps, underscoring our positive thesis on the company. WeChat monthly active users now over 900m! <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/035/246/original/we%20chat%20monthly%20users.jpg?1507531949" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="35246"></figure>

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative video formats (live broadcasting, short-form video) further drives  engagement and monetization. Tencent (700 HK) remains the unrivaled mobile traffic gateway in China with 48% of user time spent and five of the top ten mobile apps, underscoring our positive thesis on the company. WeChat monthly active users now over 900m! 

China Internet: Strong Trends in Online Entertainment Show Tencent's Dominance.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.</li>
<li>2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.
2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).
The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 1st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 1st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 1st): AIA, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi

China

Kingsoft is a Chinese software and internet services company that develops office software, cloud services, and online games. Its key products include the WPS Office suite (WPS Office, WPS 365, WPS AI) and various PC and mobile games like JX Online 3. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Kingsoft (3888 HK)

CR Power (836 HK): Still Upside From Expected Clean Energy Spin-Off

Even assigning a hefty holding company discount, there remains considerable upside to CRP's share price here, should the spin-off unfold. CRP's...

David Blennerhassett

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

China Internet: Strong Trends in Online Entertainment Show Tencent's Dominance.

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative...

New Street Research

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

The 2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn as the market rotates...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 1st): AIA, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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