IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Guotai Junan International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13438:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan International (1788 HK)</a>/GJTAI announced a preconditional scheme offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-haitong-securities-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Haitong Securities (2611 HK)</a> at HK$3.00, a 44.2% premium to the last close. The offer price is final. </li>
<li>HKEx privatisations, which require regulatory approvals, have recently been shunned. However, the precondition related to NDRC and Shanghai SASAC regulatory approvals is low risk. </li>
<li>While the offer is below the six-month high, it is attractive compared to peer and precedent transaction multiples. Barring a significant re-rating of peers, this should get done. </li>
</ul>



Guotai Junan International (1788 HK)/GJTAI announced a preconditional scheme offer from Guotai Haitong Securities (2611 HK) at HK$3.00, a 44.2% premium to the last close. The offer price is final. 
HKEx privatisations, which require regulatory approvals, have recently been shunned. However, the precondition related to NDRC and Shanghai SASAC regulatory approvals is low risk. 
While the offer is below the six-month high, it is attractive compared to peer and precedent transaction multiples. Barring a significant re-rating of peers, this should get done. 


Guotai Junan International (1788 HK): Precon Privatisation by Guotai Haitong Securities at HK$3.00

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice (64 HK)</a>/GNH has disclosed a scheme offer from Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) at HK$4.00 (scheme consideration of HK$2.00 + special dividend of HK$2.00).</li>
<li>While the offer represents a five-year high, it is light, implying a P/B multiple at a discount to precedent transactions and peer multiples. </li>
<li>However, the scheme vote is low-risk, as no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. Unless an activist(s) takes an interest by building a blocking stake, this is a done deal.</li>
</ul>



Get Nice (64 HK)/GNH has disclosed a scheme offer from Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) at HK$4.00 (scheme consideration of HK$2.00 + special dividend of HK$2.00).
While the offer represents a five-year high, it is light, implying a P/B multiple at a discount to precedent transactions and peer multiples. 
However, the scheme vote is low-risk, as no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. Unless an activist(s) takes an interest by building a blocking stake, this is a done deal.


Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Offer Is Light

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice (64 HK)</a>/GNH is in a trading halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</em>”</li>
<li>Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.</li>
<li>I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests an offer of HK$4.74 to HK$7.09 per share, representing a 39.5% to 109% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Get Nice (64 HK)/GNH is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.”
Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.
I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests an offer of HK$4.74 to HK$7.09 per share, representing a 39.5% to 109% premium to the last close.


Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Take It Private?

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Jack Ma's investment vehicle was part of the consortium that bought the Caesars social gaming business.</li><li>The cross-marketing potential between Playtika and Alibaba is immense.</li><li>Other public online gaming companies are on the hunt for transactions: Amaya and WIlliam Hill are just two. Here's possibilities to play on the possibilities.</li></ul>

Jack Ma's investment vehicle was part of the consortium that bought the Caesars social gaming business.The cross-marketing potential between Playtika and Alibaba is immense.Other public online gaming companies are on the hunt for transactions: Amaya and WIlliam Hill are just two. Here's possibilities to play on the possibilities.

China's Giant Interactive's $4.4 Billion Buy of Caesars Social Gaming Site:  A Jack Ma Signal?

Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

<p>In the higher education space within China, we like educational operators that focus on vocational training programs. Both Minsheng Education (MSE) and China New University (CNU) offer such programs. Below, we provide a brief background on China's rising education spend, and list five factors that will drive growth in vocational education.  </p>

In the higher education space within China, we like educational operators that focus on vocational training programs. Both Minsheng Education (MSE) and China New University (CNU) offer such programs. Below, we provide a brief background on China's rising education spend, and list five factors that will drive growth in vocational education.  

Vocational Education in China Will Be the New Sexy

Hong Kong

Kingston Financial Group is a financial institution that provides services including securities and futures trading, corporate finance, and asset management. The company also operates in the hotel and casino sectors. It is headquartered in Hong Kong and was founded in 1996.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kingston Financial Group (KNGTF US)

Guotai Junan International (1788 HK): Precon Privatisation by Guotai Haitong Securities at HK$3.00

While the offer is below the six-month high, it is attractive compared to peer and precedent transaction multiples. Barring a significant re-rating...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Offer Is Light

While the offer represents a five-year high, it is light, implying a P/B multiple at a discount to precedent transactions and peer multiples....

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Take It Private?

Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely seeking to privatise GNH. My analysis suggests an offer of HK$4.74 to HK$7.09 per share, representing a 40% to 109%...

Arun George

Vocational Education in China Will Be the New Sexy

In the higher education space within China, we like educational operators that focus on vocational training programs. Both Minsheng Education (MSE)...

Valerie Law, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Guotai Junan International (1788 HK): Precon Privatisation by Guotai Haitong Securities at HK$3.00

While the offer is below the six-month high, it is attractive compared to peer and precedent transaction multiples. Barring a significant re-rating...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Offer Is Light

While the offer represents a five-year high, it is light, implying a P/B multiple at a discount to precedent transactions and peer multiples....

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Take It Private?

Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely seeking to privatise GNH. My analysis suggests an offer of HK$4.74 to HK$7.09 per share, representing a 40% to 109%...

Arun George

China's Giant Interactive's $4.4 Billion Buy of Caesars Social Gaming Site: A Jack Ma Signal?

Jack Ma's investment vehicle was part of the consortium that bought the Caesars social gaming business. The cross-marketing potential between...

Howard J Klein

Vocational Education in China Will Be the New Sexy

In the higher education space within China, we like educational operators that focus on vocational training programs. Both Minsheng Education (MSE)...

Valerie Law, CFA