Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kioxia +650% YTD, and the most crowded name on the TSE, likely to face sharp selling at the open.</li>
<li>Optical fiber names Furukawa, SEI and Fujikura all in the firing line along with MLCC plays Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK.</li>
<li>Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia +650% YTD, and the most crowded name on the TSE, likely to face sharp selling at the open.
Optical fiber names Furukawa, SEI and Fujikura all in the firing line along with MLCC plays Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK.
Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Rally Faces a Correction After SOX Has Biggest Drop in 6 Years

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>Kioxia set for a big open after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday with comment from UBS turning memory sentiment decisively bullish.</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s numbers yesterday should be a shot across the bow for smartphone related names. MLCC makers Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK looking increasingly stretched with big exposure to the market.</li>
<li>Software rotation bid evaporates as AI surges. Expect an underperformance today.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia set for a big open after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday with comment from UBS turning memory sentiment decisively bullish.
Xiaomi’s numbers yesterday should be a shot across the bow for smartphone related names. MLCC makers Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK looking increasingly stretched with big exposure to the market.
Software rotation bid evaporates as AI surges. Expect an underperformance today.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Set for a Big Open as Memory Surges to New Records

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.</li>
<li>Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.</li>
<li>Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would <em><strong>double</strong></em> total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! </li>
</ul>


On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.
Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.
Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! 


YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

<ul>
<li>Kioxia likely to keep moving higher after yesterday's limit-up on its knockout numbers.</li>
<li>Seagate CEO refusing to add production capacity being read as a sign that memory demand may be nearing a top.</li>
<li>QD Laser +23% yesterday on increased adoption of its Retissa Viewclear retinal projection display.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia likely to keep moving higher after yesterday's limit-up on its knockout numbers.
Seagate CEO refusing to add production capacity being read as a sign that memory demand may be nearing a top.
QD Laser +23% yesterday on increased adoption of its Retissa Viewclear retinal projection display.


Japan Morning Connection: Software Rotation Continues with NEC and Fujitsu Set to Outperform

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Rally Faces a Correction After SOX Has Biggest Drop in 6 Years

SOX worst day in 6 years leaves Japan's AI names facing a tough open. Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Fujikura...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Set for a Big Open as Memory Surges to New Records

Memory sentiment bullish after UBS comment, setting up a big open for Kioxia after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday. Semi names offer buying...

Andrew Jackson

YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double...

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: Software Rotation Continues with NEC and Fujitsu Set to Outperform

Software rotation continues as tech remains under pressure. Kioxia the lone bright spot as other memory names show no follow through. QD Laser...

Andrew Jackson

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